Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
2 LEE Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
5 CHEN Cooper 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
6 RONG Jasper 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
7 DOOLEY Atticus 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
8 ZEYU wu 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
9 SUNG Julian 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
10 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 13%
11 CHI Everett 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
12 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 17%
13 LI Ryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
14 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 97% 75% 34% 6%
15 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
16 WONG Ron 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
17 ROSALES Vincent 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
18 LING Carson Jr 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 8%
19 OU Rigel 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
20 KIM Enoch 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
21 HAOSONG Oscar 100% 99% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
22 CHAN Troy Devon 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
23 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
24 CHEN Zhengming 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
25 KIM Suin 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 9%
26 WARD Carter 100% 99% 87% 44% 10% 1%
27 SU Kingston 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
28 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
29 HAN Kyle 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
30 LEE Winston 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
30 GATTO Enzo P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
32 YANG Jake 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% -
33 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
34 BRUM Charles E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
34 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
36 SUN Eon 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
37 GUO Jonathan 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
38 LO Elroy 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
39 SHEN Hudson 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
40 WINTERSET Mason 100% 100% 95% 68% 27% 4%
41 HORN Diodorus 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
42 AN Chris 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
43 LIU Clarence 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
44 TENG Lucas 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
45 JAMBUSARIA Aum 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
46 LIU Yijin 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
47 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% -
48 QI Jeremy 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
49 SLOAN Ethan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
50 HONG Arick 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
51 XIE Justin 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1%
52 CHEUNG Evan 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
53 ROBUCHON Aleksandr 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
54 HSIEH Christian 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
55 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
56 SAHA Aadi 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
57 LIANG David 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
58 LIN Ethan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
59 FISCHER Noel 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
60 FUGATE Logan 100% 92% 37% 7% 1% -
61 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
62 LIU Paul 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
63 GONZALEZ Mark 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
64 OON Ted 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
65 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
66 KIM Leo 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
67 HUNG Jaden 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
68 CHANDLER Scott 100% 58% 12% 1% - -
69 WU Garrick 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
70 HERRERA Stefano 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
71 SAHA Aryan 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
72 RHODES Bryce 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
73 HAMDAN Zachery 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
74 RAPHAEL Pierson 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% - -
75 WEATHERBEE Liam 100% 19% 1% - - -
76 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
78 LEE Alexander 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
78 XIAO Yi 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
80 TYAGI Atticus 100% 67% 15% 1% - -
81 WU Dustin 100% 50% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.