Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Results

Reset

Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 GALANG Aiden V V V V V V V V V V 4.4 5 +0.6
2 ZHENG Matt V V V V V V V V V V D 3.2 6 +2.8
3 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary V V V D V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
3 YANG Collin V D V V V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
5 LEE Hubert Junhu V V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
6 YAN Kaysen V V V V V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
7 PICACHE Merrick V V D V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
8 YANG Austin V D V V V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
9 MCDONALD John V V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
10 LEE Caleb D V V V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
11 JIAO Lawrence V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
12 KIM Dylan V D V V V V D 1.8 4 +2.2
13 SEVERT David V V V D D V D 1.4 4 +2.6
14 LAM Dylan V D V V D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
15 CHANG Allen D D V V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
16 LI Nathan V D V V V D V D 2.7 4 +1.3
17 LEE Albert D V V V V D D 5.0 4 -1.0
18 QIU Carson D V V D V D 1.2 3 +1.8
19 CHANG Jarrett D V D D V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
21 TAM Ethan V V D V D D 1.6 3 +1.4
22 SHETTY Vikram D V V D D D 2.4 2 -0.4
23 HAO Jefferson D V D V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
24 HORIKAWA Xander V D D D V D 3.3 2 -1.3
25 ANDERSON Bradley V V D D D D 3.5 2 -1.5
26 JIA Andrew V D D D V D V D 3.8 2 -1.8
27 WOO Sawyer D D V D D V D 2.1 1 -1.1
28 ZHANG Jiahang D D D V D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
29 PAN Wesley D D D D D V V D 1.5 1 -0.5
30 JUNG Diego D D V D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
31 DJUNAEDI Brann D D D D D V D 1.4 0 -1.4
32 LEE Damian D D D D D V D 2.6 0 -2.6
33 CHENG Daniel D D D V D D 0.8 1 +0.2
34 NGUYEN Phinix V D D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
35 WANG Alex D D D V D D 3.0 1 -2.0
36 XU Ethan D D D V D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
37 LEUNG Ian V D D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
38 WANG Grayson D D D D D D D 3.4 0 -3.4
39 WAN Andrew D D D D D D 2.7 0 -2.7

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.