Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GALANG Aiden - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
2 ZHENG Matt - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8% 1%
3 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
3 YANG Collin - 3% 17% 42% 32% 6%
5 LEE Hubert Junhu - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
6 YAN Kaysen 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
7 PICACHE Merrick - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
8 YANG Austin - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
9 MCDONALD John - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
10 LEE Caleb 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
11 JIAO Lawrence - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
12 KIM Dylan 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
13 SEVERT David 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
14 LAM Dylan 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
15 CHANG Allen 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2%
16 LI Nathan 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
17 LEE Albert - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
18 QIU Carson 20% 44% 30% 7% 1% -
19 CHANG Jarrett - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
21 TAM Ethan 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
22 SHETTY Vikram 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 2%
23 HAO Jefferson 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
24 HORIKAWA Xander - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
25 ANDERSON Bradley - 1% 10% 38% 41% 9%
26 JIA Andrew - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
27 WOO Sawyer 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
28 ZHANG Jiahang 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
29 PAN Wesley 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
30 JUNG Diego 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% - -
31 DJUNAEDI Brann 14% 40% 35% 10% 1% -
32 LEE Damian 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
33 CHENG Daniel 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
34 NGUYEN Phinix 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
35 WANG Alex 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
36 XU Ethan 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
37 LEUNG Ian 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
38 WANG Grayson < 1% 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 1%
39 WAN Andrew < 1% 9% 33% 37% 17% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.