Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
2 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
3 YU Stella 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
5 YU Skylar 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
6 SUZUKI HAN Emma Yukino 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
7 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
8 HU Ashley 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
9 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
10 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
11 NING Lynn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
12 MAO Elsa 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
13 CHERUKURI Tanvi 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
14 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
15 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
16 MAO anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
17 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 4%
18 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 13%
19 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
20 LIN Annika 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
21 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
22 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
23 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 3%
24 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
25 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
26 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
27 MERRITT Annabelle 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
28 SUN Angela 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 4%
29 STAPLEY Claire 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% -
30 LIM Eunice 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
31 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
32 OLESKY Ellie 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
33 SHI Maxine 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
34 BI Mia 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
35 ZHANG angelina 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
36 SEO Yunseo 100% 97% 70% 26% 4% -
37 FANG Lauren 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
38 JUNG Sienna 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% -
39 SONG Phoebe 100% 93% 55% 16% 2% -
40 PANCHAL Arya 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
41 CHEN Colette 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
42 BAEK Aileen 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
43 KIM Hyunbi 100% 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
44 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
46 DENG Oscar 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
47 SAYONE Liliana 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
48 HENRY Erin 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
49 DAVIS Layla 100% 73% 24% 4% - -
50 CAI Veronica 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
51 DING Jolie 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
52 YUMIACO Samantha 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
53 CAI Joanna 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
54 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 97% 61% 22% 4% - -
55 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
56 SCHOTT Marine 100% 17% 1% - - - -
57 WELCH Greta 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
58 LABAZNIKOVA Alla 100% 38% 6% - - -
59 JOHNSTON Sabrina 100% 49% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.