Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - - - - - 9% 90%
2 LI Daniel - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
3 ONG Nicholas - - - - 1% 19% 79%
3 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - - - 1% 16% 83%
5 TANG Brayden - - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
6 PARK Andrew - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
7 PARK Kaiden - - 1% 10% 35% 47% 7%
8 EVANS Desmond - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
9 LEE Abin - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
10 LI Aaron - 2% 12% 35% 40% 12%
11 CHEN kenneth - - 5% 24% 47% 24%
12 WANG Waylon - 1% 7% 28% 45% 19%
13 WU Gengze (Daniel) - - 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
14 ALCAZAREN Cian - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17% -
15 WANG sicheng - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
16 CROWDER Job Christoph - - 3% 19% 47% 31%
17 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen - - 2% 22% 49% 27%
17 YE Jerry - - 3% 20% 47% 29%
19 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth - - 2% 17% 46% 29% 5%
20 ZHOU jiatong - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
21 YANG Tate - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
22 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
23 TROYANKER Makar - 9% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
24 HONG Edwin - - 1% 8% 31% 45% 15%
25 JIN Yucheng - 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2%
26 YUNG Brandon - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11% -
27 TEJAKUSUMA Eric - 6% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
28 KAJITA Grayson - 5% 23% 39% 27% 5% -
29 BERMUDEZ Gamaliel 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
30 HUANG Nathan - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
31 HE Ian - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
32 LOPES-EASON Liam James - 8% 36% 41% 13% 1%
33 OH Kepler - - 2% 13% 38% 42% 5%
34 PARK Avan - - 2% 19% 47% 32%
35 LI Lief 1% 11% 38% 37% 11% 1%
36 MASOOD Rohail - 1% 8% 42% 39% 10%
37 NGUYEN Norris - 6% 34% 42% 16% 2%
38 PICACHE Crockett 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
39 CHENG Alvin 2% 19% 41% 30% 8% 1%
40 WANG Eason - 8% 34% 41% 15% 2%
41 MITCHELL Kallum 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
42 LEE Juneau 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
43 JEON Joohun - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
44 MA Justin 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
45 KUK Francis 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4% -
46 CHEN Solomon 3% 26% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
47 YU Jinyuan - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12% -
48 YAN Aaron - 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
49 SHA Lambor(Laien) 1% 11% 35% 38% 14% 2%
50 ZHANG Jason - - 6% 28% 48% 18%
51 SHENOY sean 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
52 LE Oliver 51% 41% 8% 1% - -
53 SGOUROS Keane 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
54 SHENOY Neil 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
54 GOURLEY Jack 7% 40% 37% 14% 2% - -
56 KWONG Colin 7% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
57 YOO Christian 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 1%
58 KIM Ryan 9% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
59 NAGPAL Kai 22% 53% 22% 3% - -
60 ULZIIBOLD Sean 1% 15% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
60 CHOI William 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
62 SEUL Maddox 5% 33% 41% 18% 4% - -
63 LEE Colin 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
64 KIM Noah 68% 28% 3% - - - -
65 BARROW Jackson - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
66 WANG Andy 22% 47% 27% 3% - -
67 LIU Aiden - 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
68 HUANG Owen 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
69 TAN benjamin 1% 17% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
70 LUO Derren 34% 47% 18% 1% - -
71 NGO Lincoln 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
72 SHAO Tysen 5% 33% 41% 18% 3% -
73 LIN Sampson 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
74 TSAI Spencer 11% 48% 32% 8% 1% - -
75 NGUYEN Nolan 6% 30% 39% 21% 5% - -
76 CABATO Luca 20% 50% 25% 4% - -
77 ZUO Thomas 67% 28% 4% - - -
78 SURIANO Dominic 12% 41% 40% 7% - -
79 ROLON Maximiliano 57% 38% 5% - - -
80 HOUPT Ian 44% 41% 14% 2% - - -
80 SCHWARTZ Walker 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
82 SCHAMP Eliot 65% 30% 5% - - - -
83 LINTNER-CALVO Julien 76% 22% 2% - - - -
84 LU David 84% 15% 1% - - - -
85 LIU Kingston 67% 28% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.