Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
2 LI Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
3 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
3 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
5 TANG Brayden 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
6 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
7 PARK Kaiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 7%
8 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
9 LEE Abin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
10 LI Aaron 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
11 CHEN kenneth 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
12 WANG Waylon 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
13 WU Gengze (Daniel) 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
14 ALCAZAREN Cian 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% -
15 WANG sicheng 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
16 CROWDER Job Christoph 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
17 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen 100% 100% 100% 98% 76% 27%
17 YE Jerry 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
19 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34% 5%
20 ZHOU jiatong 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
21 YANG Tate 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
22 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
23 TROYANKER Makar 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
24 HONG Edwin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 15%
25 JIN Yucheng 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
26 YUNG Brandon 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% -
27 TEJAKUSUMA Eric 100% 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
28 KAJITA Grayson 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6% -
29 BERMUDEZ Gamaliel 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
30 HUANG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
31 HE Ian 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
32 LOPES-EASON Liam James 100% 100% 92% 55% 15% 1%
33 OH Kepler 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 5%
34 PARK Avan 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 32%
35 LI Lief 100% 99% 88% 50% 12% 1%
36 MASOOD Rohail 100% 100% 99% 91% 49% 10%
37 NGUYEN Norris 100% 100% 93% 60% 17% 2%
38 PICACHE Crockett 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
39 CHENG Alvin 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1%
40 WANG Eason 100% 100% 91% 58% 17% 2%
41 MITCHELL Kallum 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
42 LEE Juneau 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
43 JEON Joohun 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
44 MA Justin 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
45 KUK Francis 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4% -
46 CHEN Solomon 100% 97% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
47 YU Jinyuan 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% -
48 YAN Aaron 100% 100% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
49 SHA Lambor(Laien) 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2%
50 ZHANG Jason 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 18%
51 SHENOY sean 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
52 LE Oliver 100% 49% 9% 1% - -
53 SGOUROS Keane 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
54 SHENOY Neil 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% 1% -
54 GOURLEY Jack 100% 93% 53% 16% 2% - -
56 KWONG Colin 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
57 YOO Christian 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
58 KIM Ryan 100% 91% 55% 18% 2% -
59 NAGPAL Kai 100% 78% 26% 4% - -
60 ULZIIBOLD Sean 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
60 CHOI William 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
62 SEUL Maddox 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% - -
63 LEE Colin 100% 84% 46% 13% 1% -
64 KIM Noah 100% 32% 3% - - - -
65 BARROW Jackson 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
66 WANG Andy 100% 78% 30% 3% - -
67 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
68 HUANG Owen 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
69 TAN benjamin 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
70 LUO Derren 100% 66% 19% 1% - -
71 NGO Lincoln 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
72 SHAO Tysen 100% 95% 62% 21% 3% -
73 LIN Sampson 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
74 TSAI Spencer 100% 89% 41% 9% 1% - -
75 NGUYEN Nolan 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
76 CABATO Luca 100% 80% 30% 5% - -
77 ZUO Thomas 100% 33% 4% - - -
78 SURIANO Dominic 100% 88% 47% 7% - -
79 ROLON Maximiliano 100% 43% 5% - - -
80 HOUPT Ian 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
80 SCHWARTZ Walker 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
82 SCHAMP Eliot 100% 35% 5% - - - -
83 LINTNER-CALVO Julien 100% 24% 3% - - - -
84 LU David 100% 16% 1% - - - -
85 LIU Kingston 100% 33% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.