Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 HWANG Sophie V V V V V V V V V V V 5.6 6 +0.4
2 CAO Kim D V V D V V V V V V D 5.3 4 -1.3
3 CHEN Cindy D V V V D V V V D 4.4 3 -1.4
3 SUTHERLAND Sadie V D V V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
5 SHI Maxine V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
6 BAEK Aileen V V D V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
7 TAN Angela V V D V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
8 BRIMMER Bella V D V V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
9 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
10 GUO YUKI V V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
11 WANG April V V V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
12 GUERVILLE Angelique V D V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
13 DUDNICK Caitlin V V V V D V D 3.7 4 +0.3
14 WANG Makayla D V D V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
15 KIM Hyunji D V V D D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
16 TRAN Esme V D D D V V V D 2.6 2 -0.6
17 FISCHER Luna V V V V V V D 2.9 6 +3.1
18 CHANG Kora D V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
19 CUI Andrea V V V V D D D 2.9 4 +1.1
20 WU Melody D V D V V D 1.9 2 +0.1
21 LUC Christabel D V D V V V D 3.0 3 -
22 ZHOU kelsey D V D V V D 1.4 2 +0.6
23 ASHIKHMINA Agniya D D D V V V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
24 CHENG Anna D D V V D V D 5.2 3 -2.2
25 CERVERA Zoe D V D D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
26 RO Manhattan V D D D V V D 1.1 2 +0.9
28 ZHAO Audrey D V V D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
29 HAN yujie V D D V D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
29 WONG Chloe D D V D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
31 WHITE CAREY Alberta D V D V D D V D 2.0 2 -
32 LEHER Evelyn V D D D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
33 LAVELLE Ariel V V V D D D D 1.6 3 +1.4
34 YANG annie D V D V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
35 CHEN Emma D V D D V D D 1.0 2 +1.0
36 SU Stacy D V D D V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
37 WANG Jennifer D V D D D 1.3 1 -0.3
38 SCHOELLHAMMER Julia V D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
39 CHAN Clara Minna D D D V D D D 3.5 1 -2.5
40 CHANG Jillian V D D D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
41 LIU Kaylee D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
42 KOH Madison D D D D V D D 1.6 1 -0.6
44 SHANG Bianca D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
45 GOSAVI Amiya D D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
46 BERO Mia D D D D D D D 2.4 0 -2.4
47 HONG Emory D D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.