Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUFF Caitlin - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
2 KAUL Tara - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
3 NEMORIN Rei - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
3 ZHAO ZEMEI - - - - 3% 25% 72%
5 YE Isabella - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
6 HEATH Isabella - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
8 KU Chloe - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
9 YANG Felicia - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 17%
10 WANG MONA - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
11 FAN Alexandria - - - - 4% 30% 66%
12 NANDA Maanika - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
13 ZHAO Selena - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
14 GOEL Lineysha - - 2% 16% 41% 35% 6%
15 MING Emma - 1% 5% 21% 40% 29% 4%
16 YERENKOVA Ameliia - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
17 YADAV Tishya - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
18 HU Heidi - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
18 MAK Jayden - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
20 MULLER Inara - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
21 CHOWDHERY Myra - - - 5% 39% 56%
22 LI Tira - 3% 13% 33% 37% 15%
23 KANIA Brigitte - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
24 SEO Kaitlyn - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
25 PHILLIPPY Hannah - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16% 1%
26 CHAU Zoey - - 4% 22% 44% 27% 3%
27 TOPALOV Julia - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
28 KO Ariel - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
29 WEI Levana 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
30 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
31 DEMRY Kylee 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
32 CHEN Chloe 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
33 MAJEWSKA Maria - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
34 WANG Chloe - 2% 11% 27% 35% 20% 4%
34 LI Tiffany - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
36 PEREIRA Izumi - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
37 CANARAN Daphne M. - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 2%
38 LEE Kaitlin - - 3% 16% 37% 36% 7%
39 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - - 5% 29% 66%
40 PARK Haylie - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
41 LAI Karen - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
42 PARK Gabriella - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
43 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
44 DESAI Sabrina 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
45 SARATH Sana - - 2% 17% 56% 25%
46 ROSTHOLDER Hannah - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
47 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
48 KATZ Emma - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
49 BABB Virginia - 4% 20% 43% 27% 6% -
50 VARAH Alaia - 7% 28% 41% 21% 3%
51 MALUKI Nia - - 4% 17% 35% 34% 10%
52 MACHIRAJU Ishita - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
52 YI Victoria 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
52 GUO Daisy - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
55 KETT alexis 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
56 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
57 YOUNG Sienna - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
58 DANIELS Jordanna - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
59 KIM Eunjae - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
60 ZHANG Nikki - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
61 TABANCAY Ava - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
62 JIANG Juliette 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
63 YU Sydney 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
64 GU Allison - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
65 YANG Selina - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
66 LIU Teresa 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
67 WILLER Anna - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
68 POWERS Waverly - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
69 OH Chloe - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
70 TIAN Ariana 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
71 SMITH Genevieve - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
72 ZHANG Shihan 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
73 MARGULIS Roxana 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
74 AN Jasmine 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
75 JIANG Yutong - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
76 BUSSELL Ava - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
77 LAMTAN Trinity - 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
78 ZHANG Audrey - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
79 LEE Chaewon - 7% 33% 46% 12% 1%
80 STETSIV Julia - 2% 15% 35% 36% 13%
81 HU Emily 1% 12% 34% 36% 16% 2%
82 SOUTHWELL Mia 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
82 KONDE Anika 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
84 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 1% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1%
85 PATEL Maia - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
86 ESTEVES ZOE 5% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
86 MAZZURCO Marin 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
88 ILICHEVA Adriana - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 2%
88 MEINING CHLOE 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
90 CAO Audrey 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
91 KABILING Anika Von Marie 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
92 LEE Elise - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
93 DOROBANTU Emma 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
94 SON Ellie 9% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
95 MCCABE Ashley 16% 45% 30% 9% 1% - -
96 SAGER Bianca 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
97 MISHRA Riona - 5% 18% 32% 30% 14% 2%
98 PIÑOL Annika 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
99 LAU Angela 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
100 WANG Emily - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
101 WANG Selina 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
102 FAN Tina - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
103 LEE Jiyoung 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
104 LIU Alyssa 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
105 KIM Lucy 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
106 QIU Abigail 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
106 TSE Lavine 1% 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
108 ONG Katherine 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
109 ZHANG Manyao 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
110 GISCHLER Mila 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
111 DU Jessica 4% 29% 44% 20% 3% - -
112 FANG Elena 3% 23% 39% 27% 8% 1%
113 YAP Anna 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
114 LIU Stephanie - 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
115 CHANG Daisy 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
116 CLAIANU Adriana 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
117 FREY Elise 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
118 KHAN Zoya 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
119 WINSLOW Zaria 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
119 YIN Xizi 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
121 ARGUELLO Camilla 2% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
122 KIM Jodie 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
123 CHAM Morgan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
124 MADDISON Erica 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
125 JIN Eileen 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
125 DAYNO Riley 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
127 PURITZ Morgan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
128 LIANG Katherine 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
129 KAYA Lara 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
130 SADHU Mira 20% 49% 26% 4% - -
131 PARAISO Isabella 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
132 KANG Ellie 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
133 NARRELL Olive 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
134 JOSEPH Azalée - 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
135 CHAN Isla 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
136 KWON Sienna 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
137 JEON Kristen 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
138 MADDISON Estelle 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
139 ZHONG Athena 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
140 JEON Karis 76% 22% 2% - - - -
141 BIESIADA Sophia 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
142 TSIPORUKHA Arie 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
143 LIAO Amber 4% 24% 47% 23% 2% -
144 XU Isabella 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
145 AN Jamie 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
146 ONO Lisa 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
147 RADELL Zoe 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
148 WU Jing 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
149 VU Claire 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
151 YAO Elizabeth 10% 41% 37% 11% 1% - -
152 POTDAR Harper 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
152 ARANGO Ivanna 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
154 DATLA Aanya 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
155 AHLUWALIA Vera 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
156 PARRA Luciana 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
157 WATERWORTH Clover 44% 43% 12% 1% - -
158 KRISHNAN Anu 69% 27% 4% - - -
159 CORDOVA Hailey 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
160 SAETIA Isabella 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
161 ATA Emily 34% 43% 18% 4% - - -
161 MAZZURCO Sydney 77% 21% 2% - - - -
161 HAROYAN Lilit 69% 27% 4% - - - -
164 LI Karina 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
164 KHAN Ayesha 44% 41% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.