Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUFF Caitlin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
2 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 40%
3 ZHAO ZEMEI 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
5 YE Isabella 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
6 HEATH Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
8 KU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 40%
9 YANG Felicia 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
10 WANG MONA 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
11 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
12 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
13 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
14 GOEL Lineysha 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 6%
15 MING Emma 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
16 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
17 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
18 HU Heidi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
18 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 78% 37%
20 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
21 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 56%
22 LI Tira 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
23 KANIA Brigitte 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
24 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
25 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
26 CHAU Zoey 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 3%
27 TOPALOV Julia 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 31% 6%
28 KO Ariel 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
29 WEI Levana 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
30 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
31 DEMRY Kylee 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 4% -
32 CHEN Chloe 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
33 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
34 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
34 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
36 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
37 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
38 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 7%
39 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
40 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
41 LAI Karen 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
42 PARK Gabriella 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
43 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
44 DESAI Sabrina 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
45 SARATH Sana 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 25%
46 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
47 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
48 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
49 BABB Virginia 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 6% -
50 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 3%
51 MALUKI Nia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
52 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
52 YI Victoria 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
52 GUO Daisy 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
55 KETT alexis 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
56 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
57 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
58 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
59 KIM Eunjae 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3%
60 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
61 TABANCAY Ava 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
62 JIANG Juliette 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
63 YU Sydney 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
64 GU Allison 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
65 YANG Selina 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
66 LIU Teresa 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
67 WILLER Anna 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
68 POWERS Waverly 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 2%
69 OH Chloe 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
70 TIAN Ariana 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
71 SMITH Genevieve 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
72 ZHANG Shihan 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
73 MARGULIS Roxana 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
74 AN Jasmine 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
75 JIANG Yutong 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 8%
76 BUSSELL Ava 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
77 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
78 ZHANG Audrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
79 LEE Chaewon 100% 100% 92% 59% 13% 1%
80 STETSIV Julia 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
81 HU Emily 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
82 SOUTHWELL Mia 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
82 KONDE Anika 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
84 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
85 PATEL Maia 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
86 ESTEVES ZOE 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
86 MAZZURCO Marin 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
88 ILICHEVA Adriana 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
88 MEINING CHLOE 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
90 CAO Audrey 100% 93% 65% 25% 5% - -
91 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
92 LEE Elise 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
93 DOROBANTU Emma 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2% -
94 SON Ellie 100% 91% 56% 18% 2% -
95 MCCABE Ashley 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% - -
96 SAGER Bianca 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
97 MISHRA Riona 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
98 PIÑOL Annika 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
99 LAU Angela 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
100 WANG Emily 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
101 WANG Selina 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
102 FAN Tina 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
103 LEE Jiyoung 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
104 LIU Alyssa 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
105 KIM Lucy 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
106 QIU Abigail 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
106 TSE Lavine 100% 99% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
108 ONG Katherine 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
109 ZHANG Manyao 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
110 GISCHLER Mila 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
111 DU Jessica 100% 96% 67% 23% 3% - -
112 FANG Elena 100% 97% 75% 35% 9% 1%
113 YAP Anna 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
114 LIU Stephanie 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
115 CHANG Daisy 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
116 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
117 FREY Elise 100% 99% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
118 KHAN Zoya 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
119 WINSLOW Zaria 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
119 YIN Xizi 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
121 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 98% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
122 KIM Jodie 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
123 CHAM Morgan 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
124 MADDISON Erica 100% 65% 23% 5% 1% - -
125 JIN Eileen 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1% -
125 DAYNO Riley 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
127 PURITZ Morgan 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
128 LIANG Katherine 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
129 KAYA Lara 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
130 SADHU Mira 100% 80% 31% 4% - -
131 PARAISO Isabella 100% 83% 41% 11% 2% - -
132 KANG Ellie 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
133 NARRELL Olive 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
134 JOSEPH Azalée 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
135 CHAN Isla 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
136 KWON Sienna 100% 84% 43% 11% 2% - -
137 JEON Kristen 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
138 MADDISON Estelle 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
139 ZHONG Athena 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
140 JEON Karis 100% 24% 2% - - - -
141 BIESIADA Sophia 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
142 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
143 LIAO Amber 100% 96% 72% 25% 3% -
144 XU Isabella 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
145 AN Jamie 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
146 ONO Lisa 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
147 RADELL Zoe 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
148 WU Jing 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
149 VU Claire 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
151 YAO Elizabeth 100% 90% 49% 12% 1% - -
152 POTDAR Harper 100% 70% 26% 4% - - -
152 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
154 DATLA Aanya 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
155 AHLUWALIA Vera 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
156 PARRA Luciana 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
157 WATERWORTH Clover 100% 56% 12% 1% - -
158 KRISHNAN Anu 100% 31% 4% - - -
159 CORDOVA Hailey 100% 54% 13% 2% - - -
160 SAETIA Isabella 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
161 ATA Emily 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
161 MAZZURCO Sydney 100% 23% 2% - - - -
161 HAROYAN Lilit 100% 31% 4% - - - -
164 LI Karina 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
164 KHAN Ayesha 100% 56% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.