Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YOU Asher - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 13%
2 JIANG Adam - 3% 18% 39% 32% 9%
3 IVANOV Andrew - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
3 LIU YULIN - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
5 FAYEZ Adam - 1% 5% 17% 33% 33% 12%
6 YAN Milan - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
7 KIM Ian - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
8 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
10 GAO Kevin 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
11 VAN RIET Matteo - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
12 LIU FREDERICK - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
13 THOMSON Piers - 5% 25% 47% 23%
14 NG Remy - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
15 YU Luca - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
16 LEE Derek 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
17 FERNANDEZ Chenxing - 2% 16% 43% 36% 4%
18 KO Caden 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
19 JIN Jacob 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
20 CHEUNG Daniel - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
21 CHU Joe 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
22 CANONACO Maddox 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
23 MAK Nolan 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
24 LIU Spencer - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
25 OLELE Chibuikem 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
26 LEE Sehryum 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
27 LUO Sebastian 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
28 ZHOU Silvan 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
29 HONG Evan - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
30 ROCHE Theodore 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
31 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
32 XI Eric 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
34 CHA Declan - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
35 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
36 ALI Akash 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
37 SALIBA Jackson - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
38 LEUNG Joon - 3% 19% 41% 30% 7%
39 SIU Maximus 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
40 BUCHNER Theodore - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
41 LAW Benjamin 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4%
42 LU Shawn - 2% 16% 44% 37%
43 JEONG Joshua 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
44 CHEN Samuel 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
45 KAZA Avyaan 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
46 SALA John 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
47 CHEN Yijia (Rick) - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
48 SHAPIRO Benjamin 16% 41% 33% 9% 1%
49 WENDLING Andrew 22% 39% 28% 9% 2% -
50 ZUNIGA Finn 28% 46% 21% 4% - -
51 LI AIDEN 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
52 ZUNIGA Wyatt 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
53 TANG David 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
54 SADLER Leon 48% 38% 12% 2% - -
55 LEE Zachariah 20% 43% 30% 7% 1%
56 ZHONG Austin 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
57 VOLKOV Joshua 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% 1% -
58 KIM Nicholas 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
59 CAVALLARO Xavier 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
60 WANG Samuel 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
61 ZHU Peter 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
62 ZHANG Mason 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
63 DONG Eason 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 1% -
64 SMITH Charleston 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
65 ELMI Omid 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
66 KUBBA Neil 26% 45% 24% 5% - -
67 ISLAM Ryan 21% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
68 CHOI Kevin 17% 42% 33% 8% 1%
69 HANAUER Bryce 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
70 LAM-DANBACK Zachary 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
71 LI Kevin < 1% 4% 19% 38% 32% 8%
72 GANT Buhawi < 1% 8% 43% 37% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.