Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
2 WANG Theodore - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
3 YI Andrew - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
3 YU Jayden - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
5 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
6 ROPER F. Elijah - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 14%
7 LIN Alex - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
8 CHANG Ethan - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
9 BARENBOYM Michael - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
10 FENG Brendan - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
11 WAXLER Alex 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
12 ROH Jaden - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
13 WONG Hawken - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
14 WEI Lucas - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
15 PAK Andrew - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6%
16 CHEN Jack - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
17 LEUNG Arthur 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1%
18 EL BEHARY Kareem - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
19 KOZLOV Lucas - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 28%
19 LUAN Stephen - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
21 HU Harry - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 12%
21 HE Zhikai (kyle) - 1% 5% 21% 40% 29% 4%
23 ZHANG Caleb 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
24 SLAVNOV Anton - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
25 LUAN Mark - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
26 WANG Edward - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
26 HENRY Cadel - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
28 BOSITA Brennan - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
28 KU Collin - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
30 BALU Aedan - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 21%
31 WONG Reagan - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
32 VU Mark - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
33 KHANNA Adamantis - - - - 1% 22% 77%
34 BRISENO Ethan 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
35 ZWAKA Jonas - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
36 NAFTALI Ori - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
37 SONG Aidan - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
38 KOREN David - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
39 CAO HAOTIAN - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
40 KETT Richard - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
41 BUKZIN Alan - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
42 ORIE Sohan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
43 CHAWLA Abhishek - 5% 19% 33% 29% 13% 2%
43 DAI Zihou - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
45 JOHNSON Leland - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
45 SMITH Etienne - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
47 TAKEBE Ren - 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
48 LIEU Nicholas 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
48 HOUPT Lucas - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
50 BROOKS Isaac 2% 29% 42% 22% 4% -
51 ZHANG Aiden - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
52 WU Vincent - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
53 LIANG Morgan - 2% 14% 37% 39% 9%
54 LAU Kyrus - - 1% 9% 33% 49% 9%
55 PERRIN Leo - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
56 KANIA Alexander - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8%
57 YEAZEL Colin 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
58 CHEN Felix - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
59 ARCHIBALD Zachary - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
60 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
60 WANG Mason 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
62 GUERRA Corey 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
63 LYU Tyler - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
64 ARRANT Mason 1% 12% 36% 37% 13% 1%
65 ZHANG Simon - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
66 KIM Derek 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% - -
67 WANG ARAN 1% 15% 39% 34% 10% 1%
68 PAUL Jimmy - 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
69 BIVIJI Adam - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
70 GU Dean 4% 23% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
71 KOREN George 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
72 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
73 BEAL Colton - 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
74 VISH Manyu 1% 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 1%
75 SHAPIRO Leo 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
76 NARAYAN Rishi - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
77 FU BRANDEN - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
78 LEE Brendan 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
79 IVERSON Niels 6% 29% 39% 21% 4% - -
80 DAI Ethan 9% 31% 37% 19% 5% - -
81 YANG LOUIS - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5% -
83 STOLCKE Julian 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
84 KUANG Cyrus 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
85 LI Kent 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
86 BRAMLETT Myer - 6% 24% 39% 26% 5% -
87 MARSHQUIST Miles 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
88 LEVIN Jacob - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
89 KAUL Ishaan - 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
90 KOHLER Vaughn 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
91 HOWERTON Beckett 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
92 ROBINSON Ezra 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
93 BROOKS Theo - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
93 SONG Ryan 3% 29% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
95 LIAO Sirui - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
96 ZHANG Weihang 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
96 TANJGA Luka 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
98 DY Azriel 52% 38% 10% 1% - - -
99 HENDERSON Louis - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
100 HEIMOV Brennan 24% 53% 20% 3% - - -
101 LEE Ivan 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
102 SOKOLOV Lucas 6% 24% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
103 HE Nolan 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
104 SPENCER-EL Elijah 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
105 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 9% 37% 37% 14% 2% - -
107 BENNETT Lachlan - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
108 PIPKE Garrett 1% 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% -
109 FILMORE Samuel 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
110 LUO Gavin 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
110 KAMURA Kosei 1% 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1%
110 WU Lucas 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
113 ROMBERG Sam 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
113 LEE SungYup 51% 40% 9% 1% - - -
113 FERRIS Oliver 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
116 LEE Jeffrey 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
117 ALLEN Paxton 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
117 XIONG Robert 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
119 YANG Ted 49% 41% 10% 1% - - -
120 TEPLESKY Sasha 75% 22% 2% - - - -
121 WANG Ziyao 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
122 GREENE Noah 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
123 PROSPER Nathaniel 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
123 REIFKE Clive 22% 54% 21% 3% - - -
123 HONG Isaac 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
123 YU Ronen 2% 16% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
127 JAVIER Xavier 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
128 TUNA Abdullatif 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
129 UCHIYAMA Lucas 80% 19% 2% - - -
130 GRAY Joshua 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
131 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
132 REQUENA GARCIA Diego 76% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.