Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
2 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
3 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
3 YU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
5 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
6 ROPER F. Elijah 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
7 LIN Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
8 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
9 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
10 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
11 WAXLER Alex 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
12 ROH Jaden 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
13 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
14 WEI Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
15 PAK Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
16 CHEN Jack 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
17 LEUNG Arthur 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
18 EL BEHARY Kareem 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
19 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
19 LUAN Stephen 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
21 HU Harry 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 12%
21 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
23 ZHANG Caleb 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
24 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
25 LUAN Mark 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
26 WANG Edward 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
26 HENRY Cadel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
28 BOSITA Brennan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
28 KU Collin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
30 BALU Aedan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
31 WONG Reagan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
32 VU Mark 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1%
33 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
34 BRISENO Ethan 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
35 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
36 NAFTALI Ori 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
37 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
38 KOREN David 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
39 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
40 KETT Richard 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 10%
41 BUKZIN Alan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
42 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
43 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
43 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
45 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
45 SMITH Etienne 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
47 TAKEBE Ren 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
48 LIEU Nicholas 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
48 HOUPT Lucas 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
50 BROOKS Isaac 100% 98% 69% 27% 5% -
51 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
52 WU Vincent 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
53 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
54 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 9%
55 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
56 KANIA Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
57 YEAZEL Colin 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
58 CHEN Felix 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
59 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
60 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
60 WANG Mason 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
62 GUERRA Corey 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
63 LYU Tyler 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
64 ARRANT Mason 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 1%
65 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
66 KIM Derek 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% - -
67 WANG ARAN 100% 99% 84% 44% 11% 1%
68 PAUL Jimmy 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
69 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
70 GU Dean 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
71 KOREN George 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
72 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
73 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
74 VISH Manyu 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
75 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
76 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
77 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2%
78 LEE Brendan 100% 99% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
79 IVERSON Niels 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
80 DAI Ethan 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
81 YANG LOUIS 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5% -
83 STOLCKE Julian 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
84 KUANG Cyrus 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
85 LI Kent 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
86 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5% -
87 MARSHQUIST Miles 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
88 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
89 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
90 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
91 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
92 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
93 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 3%
93 SONG Ryan 100% 97% 68% 28% 7% 1% -
95 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
96 ZHANG Weihang 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
96 TANJGA Luka 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
98 DY Azriel 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
99 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
100 HEIMOV Brennan 100% 76% 23% 3% - - -
101 LEE Ivan 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
102 SOKOLOV Lucas 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
103 HE Nolan 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
104 SPENCER-EL Elijah 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
105 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% - -
107 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
108 PIPKE Garrett 100% 99% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
109 FILMORE Samuel 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
110 LUO Gavin 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
110 KAMURA Kosei 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 8% 1%
110 WU Lucas 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
113 ROMBERG Sam 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
113 LEE SungYup 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
113 FERRIS Oliver 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
116 LEE Jeffrey 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
117 ALLEN Paxton 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
117 XIONG Robert 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
119 YANG Ted 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
120 TEPLESKY Sasha 100% 25% 2% - - - -
121 WANG Ziyao 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
122 GREENE Noah 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
123 PROSPER Nathaniel 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
123 REIFKE Clive 100% 78% 25% 4% - - -
123 HONG Isaac 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
123 YU Ronen 100% 98% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
127 JAVIER Xavier 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
128 TUNA Abdullatif 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
129 UCHIYAMA Lucas 100% 20% 2% - - -
130 GRAY Joshua 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
131 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
132 REQUENA GARCIA Diego 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.