Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KALKINA Yelena 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96%
2 WANG Tina 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2%
3 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
3 TANG Wing Ka Ariana 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
5 KNULL Emma 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
6 FERRIS Madeline 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
7 YANG Caroline 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
8 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3%
9 HUANG Wanyi 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% -
10 TENG Christine Renmei 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
11 WILLEMSE Jamie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
12 FEENER Paige 100% 97% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
13 DOLEV Rony 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% -
13 KAZA Ananya 100% 88% 45% 12% 1% -
15 RAMAN Indira 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
16 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
17 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% -
18 ERPELDING Emily 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
19 MATSUO Kei 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
20 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
21 JI Xinya 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
22 OOI Ming Qin 100% 90% 43% 10% 1% - -
23 MEFFORD Isadora 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
24 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
25 HE Manni 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
26 KOENIG Audrey 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
27 ZUG Kiersten A. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 7%
28 SUNIDJA Indira 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
29 LOWREY Zola 100% 30% 3% - - - -
30 WONG Alice 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
31 WHELAN Quinn 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
32 DEGEN Anita L. 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.