Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOH Jonas - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
2 PARK Sky - - - 4% 23% 44% 27%
3 BIELER Mason - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 13%
3 ZHANG Jacob - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
5 YI William W. - - - 6% 32% 61%
6 KIM Aiden - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
7 GUO Austin 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
8 BORG Matthew - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
9 WONG Evan - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
10 ZHOU Ryan - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
11 LI Daniel - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
12 QIU Zhaocheng - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
13 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
14 FOY Grant - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
15 SUMIN Yang - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
16 DENG David - 4% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
17 LEPAROUX Jean - - 4% 21% 40% 28% 7%
18 GORDON William L. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
19 LEE Abin - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
20 FLANAGAN Miles - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
21 WANG sicheng 1% 15% 40% 34% 10% 1%
22 PE Noah - - 6% 23% 40% 25% 5%
23 TSOI Spencer - 4% 22% 42% 28% 4%
24 KIM Jonah - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
25 MANIKTALA Suvir 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
26 CHOI Colin - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
27 LI Lucas - 5% 24% 42% 26% 4%
28 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
29 WONG Braxton - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
30 WEI Winston - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
31 ONG Nicholas - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
32 ZHAN Kevin - 3% 16% 36% 33% 10% 1%
33 HONG Edwin - 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
34 CHANG Nathan - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 6%
35 VARIDIREDDY Suhan 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
36 WILLIAMS Matthew 23% 53% 21% 3% - - -
37 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
38 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
39 HUANG Nathan 2% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
40 YE Jerry 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
41 SCHIENEMAN Valentine - 5% 24% 41% 23% 5% -
42 LEE Christopher 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
43 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 2% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
44 BHANOT Arjun - 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
45 BRADY Benjamin - 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
45 BLUNCK Kristof - 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
47 ZHANG Andrew 5% 36% 40% 16% 2% -
48 DACKO Nolan 7% 31% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
49 TRUJILLO Jonah 11% 43% 35% 10% 1% - -
50 SMITH Jeremiah 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% 1% -
51 LEE Lucas 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
52 YOUNG Luke 11% 42% 35% 11% 1% - -
54 NGUYEN Ethan 75% 23% 2% - - -
55 DOSTER David 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
56 SHADRAVAN Arash 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
57 WASHBURN Cooper 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
58 KOEHLER Marc 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
58 PICACHE Crockett 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
60 SCHAMP Eliot 96% 4% - - - - -
61 JEREZ PINE Luca 54% 39% 6% - - - -
62 TONEF Christian 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
63 LEE Colin 58% 35% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.