Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOH Jonas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
2 PARK Sky 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
3 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
3 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
5 YI William W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 61%
6 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
7 GUO Austin 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
8 BORG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
9 WONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
10 ZHOU Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
11 LI Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
12 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
13 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
14 FOY Grant 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
15 SUMIN Yang 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
16 DENG David 100% 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1%
17 LEPAROUX Jean 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 7%
18 GORDON William L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
19 LEE Abin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
20 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
21 WANG sicheng 100% 99% 84% 44% 11% 1%
22 PE Noah 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5%
23 TSOI Spencer 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 4%
24 KIM Jonah 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
25 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
26 CHOI Colin 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
27 LI Lucas 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4%
28 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
29 WONG Braxton 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
30 WEI Winston 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
31 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
32 ZHAN Kevin 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11% 1%
33 HONG Edwin 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
34 CHANG Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
35 VARIDIREDDY Suhan 100% 96% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
36 WILLIAMS Matthew 100% 77% 24% 3% - - -
37 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
38 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
39 HUANG Nathan 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
40 YE Jerry 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
41 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 6% -
42 LEE Christopher 100% 99% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
43 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 98% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
44 BHANOT Arjun 100% 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
45 BRADY Benjamin 100% 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
45 BLUNCK Kristof 100% 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1%
47 ZHANG Andrew 100% 95% 59% 19% 3% -
48 DACKO Nolan 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
49 TRUJILLO Jonah 100% 89% 46% 11% 1% - -
50 SMITH Jeremiah 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
51 LEE Lucas 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
52 YOUNG Luke 100% 89% 47% 12% 1% - -
54 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 25% 2% - - -
55 DOSTER David 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
56 SHADRAVAN Arash 100% 51% 12% 2% - - -
57 WASHBURN Cooper 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
58 KOEHLER Marc 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
58 PICACHE Crockett 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
60 SCHAMP Eliot 100% 4% - - - - -
61 JEREZ PINE Luca 100% 46% 7% - - - -
62 TONEF Christian 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
63 LEE Colin 100% 42% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.