Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SANCHEZ Jacob - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
2 DOOLEY Atticus - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
3 XIAO Brayden - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
3 GU Kevin - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
5 RONG Jasper - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
6 LI Leo - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
7 BRUM Charles E. 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
8 YU Casey - < 1% 4% 15% 31% 34% 15%
9 LEE Nathan Uju - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
10 COBIAN Richard - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
11 CHAN Elliott - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
12 QI Jeremy - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
13 SUN Eon - 6% 26% 40% 24% 4%
14 ROSALES Vincent - 3% 19% 42% 31% 5%
15 ROBUCHON Aleksandr - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
16 VOSPER James - 4% 22% 42% 28% 4%
17 SINGHAL Armaan 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
18 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - - 5% 20% 42% 33%
19 LIU Daniel - 3% 14% 32% 34% 14% 2%
20 WONG Ron - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
21 SUN Ryan 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
22 EKAMBARAM Nikhil - 2% 10% 26% 34% 23% 6%
23 CHEN Cooper - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8%
24 LIN Ethan 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
25 CHEN Zhengming 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
26 KULKARNI Shreyas - 4% 21% 39% 29% 6%
27 HSIEH Christian - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
28 LIU Yijin 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
29 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
30 LUC Linkin - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
31 WINTERSET Mason 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
32 KIM Enoch 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
33 LEE Brian - - - 6% 33% 61%
34 LEE Brandon - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
35 CHI Everett - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
36 SLOAN Ethan 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
36 FISCHER Noel 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
38 YANG Jake 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
39 XIE Justin 7% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
40 AN Chris 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
41 LI Ryan 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
42 LO Elroy 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
43 JAMBUSARIA Aum 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
44 HERRERA Stefano 2% 23% 41% 26% 7% 1%
45 LING Carson Jr 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
46 GATTO Enzo P. 2% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
47 RAPHAEL Pierson 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
48 SANCHEZ William 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
49 GUO Jonathan 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
50 WARD Carter 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
51 HONG Arick 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
52 HAN Kyle 2% 19% 40% 30% 9% 1%
52 XIAO Yi 44% 42% 13% 1% - -
54 HWANG Jayden 8% 34% 39% 17% 3% -
55 LEE Winston 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
56 HAOSONG Oscar 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
57 FUGATE Logan 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
58 HONG Aidan 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
59 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
60 GONZALEZ Mark 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
61 LEE Alexander 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
62 KATZ Nico 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
64 FRENCILLO Daryl 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
65 HU Harley 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
66 WEATHERBEE Liam 73% 24% 3% - - -
67 WU Garrick 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
68 HAMDAN Zachery 19% 41% 29% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.