Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
2 DOOLEY Atticus 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
3 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
3 GU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
5 RONG Jasper 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
6 LI Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
7 BRUM Charles E. 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% -
8 YU Casey 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 15%
9 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
10 COBIAN Richard 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
11 CHAN Elliott 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 35% 8%
12 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
13 SUN Eon 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
14 ROSALES Vincent 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 5%
15 ROBUCHON Aleksandr 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
16 VOSPER James 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 4%
17 SINGHAL Armaan 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
18 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
19 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
20 WONG Ron 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
21 SUN Ryan 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
22 EKAMBARAM Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
23 CHEN Cooper 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
24 LIN Ethan 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
25 CHEN Zhengming 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
26 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
27 HSIEH Christian 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
28 LIU Yijin 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
29 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
30 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
31 WINTERSET Mason 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
32 KIM Enoch 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
33 LEE Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
34 LEE Brandon 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
35 CHI Everett 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
36 SLOAN Ethan 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
36 FISCHER Noel 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
38 YANG Jake 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
39 XIE Justin 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
40 AN Chris 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
41 LI Ryan 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
42 LO Elroy 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
43 JAMBUSARIA Aum 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
44 HERRERA Stefano 100% 98% 74% 34% 8% 1%
45 LING Carson Jr 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
46 GATTO Enzo P. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
47 RAPHAEL Pierson 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
48 SANCHEZ William 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
49 GUO Jonathan 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
50 WARD Carter 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
51 HONG Arick 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
52 HAN Kyle 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1%
52 XIAO Yi 100% 56% 14% 1% - -
54 HWANG Jayden 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% -
55 LEE Winston 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
56 HAOSONG Oscar 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
57 FUGATE Logan 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
58 HONG Aidan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
59 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
60 GONZALEZ Mark 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
61 LEE Alexander 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
62 KATZ Nico 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
64 FRENCILLO Daryl 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
65 HU Harley 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
66 WEATHERBEE Liam 100% 27% 3% - - -
67 WU Garrick 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
68 HAMDAN Zachery 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.