Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Jacey - 1% 7% 28% 47% 17%
2 MAI Mailan - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 FISCHBEIN Quinley - - 1% 9% 40% 51%
3 MIAO Anthea 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
5 BURKS Madison - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
6 XU Emily (Hua) - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
7 YIP Allison - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
8 MANDAP Alessandra - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
9 KANE Chloe - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
10 WANG Nicole - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
11 LEE Adelynn - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
12 DEKERMANJI kate 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% -
13 CIOBANU Celine - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
14 BLAETZ Isadora - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
15 SHERMAN Olivia - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
16 JAQUISH Zoey - 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
17 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
18 KOU Cynthia - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
19 VIJAY Vaishnavi - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
20 LU Chloe 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
21 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
22 SUN Joanna 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 3%
23 YOON Claire 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
24 LI Carlie 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
25 CHEONG Chloe - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 10%
26 ARNOLD Evangeline 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
27 LI Wan-Tao 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% -
28 KIM Vivian - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
29 KAYMAN June 32% 42% 20% 4% - -
30 REN Ivanka 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
31 ZU Jacqueline 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 6% 1%
32 XIE Yuyan 5% 24% 39% 25% 5% -
34 SIDHU Myra 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
35 CHENG Yiwen 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
36 GRAZIANO Josephine 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
36 RAPTIS Layla 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
38 PAK Ella 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
39 SCANLAN Alina Nev - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
40 BACK Ella 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
41 PARK Rachel 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
42 VISHWA Nishta 46% 40% 12% 1% - -
43 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
44 LI Chloe 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
44 WEINBERG Milena 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
46 LUCENA Yaretzi 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.