Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Jacey 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 17%
2 MAI Mailan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 MIAO Anthea 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
5 BURKS Madison 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
6 XU Emily (Hua) 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
7 YIP Allison 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
8 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
9 KANE Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
10 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
11 LEE Adelynn 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
12 DEKERMANJI kate 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% -
13 CIOBANU Celine 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
14 BLAETZ Isadora 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
15 SHERMAN Olivia 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
16 JAQUISH Zoey 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
17 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
18 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
19 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
20 LU Chloe 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
21 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
22 SUN Joanna 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
23 YOON Claire 100% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
24 LI Carlie 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
25 CHEONG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 10%
26 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
27 LI Wan-Tao 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
28 KIM Vivian 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
29 KAYMAN June 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
30 REN Ivanka 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
31 ZU Jacqueline 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
32 XIE Yuyan 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
34 SIDHU Myra 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
35 CHENG Yiwen 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
36 GRAZIANO Josephine 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% -
36 RAPTIS Layla 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
38 PAK Ella 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
39 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
40 BACK Ella 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
41 PARK Rachel 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
42 VISHWA Nishta 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
43 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
44 LI Chloe 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
44 WEINBERG Milena 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
46 LUCENA Yaretzi 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.