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Event Results

Y-12 Men's Saber

Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSurprise Map

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM Pasadena Convention Center · Pasadena, CA, USA
58 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 WANG David D V V V V V V V V V V 3.6 4 +0.4
2 LVOVSKIY Roman D D V V V V V V V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
3 WONG Alexander D V D D V V V V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
3 CHEN Aaron V V V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
5 HSIEH Sebastian V V V V V V V V D 3.3 6 +2.7
6 WANG James V V V V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
7 LOPEZ Mateo V D V V V V V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
8 DENG Richard V V V V D V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
9 SU Eric V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
10 CHOI LIAM V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
11 RAZAI Evan V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
12 EKAMBARAM Rithik V V V V V V V D 2.8 5 +2.2
13 PI Edwin V V V V V D V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
14 PARK Jayden V V D V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
15 DESAI Arthav V V V D V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
16 WU Allen V D V D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
17 HSIEH Maxwell V V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
18 FAN Yuchen D V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
19 WANG Darren V D V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
20 WOO Slade V V V V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
21 LEI Isaac V V D V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
22 FAKHRI Adrian V V D D V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
23 LEE Jayden Junhyuk D V V D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
24 DING Orlando V D V V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
25 SUN alan D V V V D V D 1.9 3 +1.1
26 FERRING Theo V D D V V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
27 FAN Yuen V V V D D D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
28 LI Jason D D V V D V D 3.5 2 -1.5
29 RAMOS Pious V V D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
30 CHEN Maorui V D D D V V D 1.0 2 +1.0
31 ZHENG Matt D D V V D D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
32 LIU Jayden D D D V D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
33 SO Cheston V V D D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
34 BURKHART Camden V D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
35 WANG Chuyun D D D V V V D 1.7 3 +1.3
36 LAM Dylan V V D D D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
37 KAUFFMAN Graham D D V V D D 1.9 2 +0.1
38 GUO ATTICUS D V D D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
39 LAD Anish V D D V D D 0.8 2 +1.2
40 CHAN Ethan V V D D D D D 2.0 2 -
41 NGUYEN Tristan V D D D V D D 0.8 2 +1.2
42 CHANG Allen D D D V D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
43 ALLEVATO Luigi D D V D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
44 KHUU HALL Gibson D V D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
45 DING Kyen D V D D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
46 XIN Ryan D D D D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
47 ZHU Mason D D V D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
48 KIM Dylan D D D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
49 WU Aiden D D D V D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
50 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary D D V D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
51 CONCANNON Jackson V D D D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
52 GALANG Aiden D D D D D D 2.9 0 -2.9
53 CHOI Theo D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
54 DAUM Billy D D D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
55 SEVERT David D D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
56 DOUGLAS Milo D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
57 YANG Collin D D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
58 YUEN Aulden D D D D D D D 2.5 0 -2.5

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%