Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG David - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16%
2 LVOVSKIY Roman - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
3 WONG Alexander 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
3 CHEN Aaron - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
5 HSIEH Sebastian - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
6 WANG James - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
7 LOPEZ Mateo - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
8 DENG Richard - - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9%
9 SU Eric - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
10 CHOI LIAM - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
11 RAZAI Evan - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
12 EKAMBARAM Rithik - 6% 30% 41% 20% 3%
13 PI Edwin - - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
14 PARK Jayden - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 20%
15 DESAI Arthav - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
16 WU Allen 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
17 HSIEH Maxwell 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
18 FAN Yuchen - 1% 7% 25% 41% 23% 4%
19 WANG Darren - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
20 WOO Slade - 3% 19% 40% 30% 8%
21 LEI Isaac 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
22 FAKHRI Adrian - - 5% 23% 44% 29%
23 LEE Jayden Junhyuk - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
24 DING Orlando 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
25 SUN alan 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
26 FERRING Theo 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
27 FAN Yuen 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
28 LI Jason - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
29 RAMOS Pious 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
30 CHEN Maorui 26% 48% 22% 4% - -
31 ZHENG Matt - 3% 14% 29% 33% 18% 4%
32 LIU Jayden 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
33 SO Cheston 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
34 BURKHART Camden 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
35 WANG Chuyun 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
36 LAM Dylan 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 3% -
37 KAUFFMAN Graham 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
38 GUO ATTICUS 1% 12% 36% 36% 14% 2%
39 LAD Anish 35% 48% 16% 2% - -
40 CHAN Ethan 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
41 NGUYEN Tristan 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
42 CHANG Allen 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
43 ALLEVATO Luigi 34% 48% 15% 2% - -
44 KHUU HALL Gibson 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
45 DING Kyen 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
46 XIN Ryan 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
47 ZHU Mason 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
48 KIM Dylan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
49 WU Aiden 13% 41% 34% 11% 1% - -
50 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
51 CONCANNON Jackson 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
52 GALANG Aiden < 1% 6% 29% 41% 21% 4%
53 CHOI Theo 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
54 DAUM Billy 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1% -
55 SEVERT David 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
56 DOUGLAS Milo 38% 46% 14% 2% - -
57 YANG Collin 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1%
58 YUEN Aulden 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.