Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 DU Evan V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.8 6 +0.2
2 WU Nathan V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
3 LEE Lucas V V V D V V V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
3 YUN Mason V V V V V D V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
5 LIN Bryan V V V V V V V V V D 4.3 6 +1.7
6 HWANG Matthew V V V V V V V V V D 5.7 6 +0.3
7 PINCHUK Spencer V D V D V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
8 TIAN Dylan V D D D V V V V D 3.5 2 -1.5
9 YOON Ian V V V V V V V V D 3.6 6 +2.4
10 PARK Sean V V V V V V V D 2.8 5 +2.2
11 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) V V D V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
12 LIU Aiden V V V D V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
13 HUA Nolan V D V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
14 LIU William V V D D V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
15 JUNG Brandon D V V V D V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
16 FU Benjamin D V V D V D V V D 4.4 3 -1.4
17 WONG Kyle V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
18 YIM Antonio V V V D V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
19 LI Connor V V V V D V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
20 ZHAO Luke V V V V D V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
21 LIU Yihong V D V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
22 SHIH Derek V D V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
23 DING Daniel D D V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
24 GUO Jonathan V D V V D V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
25 LO Stefan V D D V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
26 CHU Clayton V V D V D V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
27 BUSH Andrew V V D D D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
28 HAN Alex D D V V D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
29 GONG Rongtao D D V D V V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
30 LI John D D V V D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
31 ZHANG JENSON V D D V V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
32 LEE Cooper V D D V D D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
33 JIN JETFAN V V V V D V D 5.1 5 -0.1
34 CHO Lincoln V V V D V D D 2.6 4 +1.4
35 NOZAWA Luke V V V D D V D 4.7 4 -0.7
36 KIM Benjamin D D V D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
37 ELARDO Griffin D V D V V D D 3.2 3 -0.2
38 KIM Hayden V D V D V D D 3.1 3 -0.1
39 LEE Daniel D V V D V D D 3.0 3 -
40 YIM Benjamin D V D V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
41 LAU Jesse V D D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
42 MCEWEN Max D D V V D D 1.4 2 +0.6
42 DODDAPANENI Arjun V V D V D D D 2.8 3 +0.2
44 SI Alexander D V V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
45 KOU Logan D V D D V D D 1.4 2 +0.6
46 HUYNH Ethan D V D D V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
47 JI Dylan D V D D V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
48 HONG Eason D D V D V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
49 WANG Alexander D V V D D D D 1.8 2 +0.2
50 LI Ethan D V D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
51 LI Anson D D D V D D 1.3 1 -0.3
52 DUCOURNAU Enzo D V D D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
53 DAI Greyson V D D D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
54 TENG Eric D D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
54 DEMIRCHIAN Edward D V D D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
56 GOMEZ Emmett V D D D D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
57 SHI Ethan D D D D D V D 2.6 1 -1.6
58 LU Mark D D D V D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
59 LEE Zeo D D D D D V D 0.7 1 +0.3
60 SAMUELSON Ben D D D V D D V D 3.2 1 -2.2
61 IGISSINOV Nurali V D D D D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
62 YANG Mikey D D D D D D V D 1.6 0 -1.6
63 YANG Rony D D D D D D V D 2.2 0 -2.2
64 XUE Jason D D D D D D V D 2.0 0 -2.0
65 EVANS Harvey D D D D V D D 1.5 1 -0.5
66 WAN William D D V D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
67 SCHOELLHAMMER John D D D D D V D 1.8 1 -0.8
69 CHIANG WESLEY D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.