Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 SUN Joanna V V V V V V V V V V 4.1 5 +0.9
2 YIP Allison V V V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
3 FLYNN Kensington V V D D V V V V V D 4.0 4 -
3 LIAO irene D V V V V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
5 ARNOLD Evangeline V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
6 WONG Isabelle V V V D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
7 KUSHNERENKO Maiia V V V V D V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
8 LYNTON Alexandra V V V D D V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
9 MIAO Anthea V V V V V V V D 4.1 6 +1.9
10 TRUONG Chloe V V V V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
11 LU Chu D V V V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
12 YANG Nina V V V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
13 LYNTON Olivia D D V V V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
14 WANG Phoebe D V D V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
15 DEJOY Leilah V D D V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
16 WANG Kercedes Ye V D D D V V V D 3.2 2 -1.2
17 VOO Evelyn D V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
18 CHU Brianna V V V D V D D 2.1 4 +1.9
20 LEE Rebecca V D D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
21 WANG Olivia V V D V D D 2.1 3 +0.9
22 DING Xuanwen V V V D D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
23 LI Claire V V D V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
24 SHIH Eva V V D D D V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
25 ZHANG ANGELA D V D V D V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
26 HUANG Sophie V D D V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
27 LICON Katherine D V D V D V D 3.9 2 -1.9
28 LEE Layla V D V D D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
29 STEPHAN Antje Elisa V D D D V D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
30 MUHLENBRUCH Cora D D V V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
31 SCHWARTZMAN Avital D D V D D V D 1.0 1 -
32 MANDAP Natalya D D D D V V D 1.6 1 -0.6
33 ROSENFELD Liv D D V V D D 0.5 2 +1.5
34 KEDAN Carmella D D V D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
35 YU Elise D D D D V 1.8 1 -0.8
36 HSIEH Sophie D D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
37 FLESHER Mia D V D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
38 YANG Maggie Qiqi D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
39 MA Sloane D D D V D D 1.6 1 -0.6
40 SHIH Cayla D D D V D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
41 WANG Elizabeth D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
41 BAI lufei D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
43 HWANG Faith D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
44 WHITE Zinnia D D D D D D D 3.3 0 -3.3

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.