Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
2 YU Stella 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 CHERUKURI Tanvi 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
3 PARK Chloe 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
5 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
6 CAI Veronica 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
7 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
8 SHEARER Alena 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
9 YU Skylar 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
10 NGUYEN Summer 100% 99% 91% 58% 19% 2%
11 SEO Yunseo 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% -
12 RIVERA Brenda 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
13 MAO Elsa 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
14 NING Lynn 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 14%
15 SUZUKI HAN Emma Yukino 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
16 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
17 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3%
18 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31%
19 XA-CHIN Sara 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
20 SUNG Isabella 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
21 DENG Oscar 100% 84% 37% 8% 1% -
22 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
23 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
24 DING Jolie 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
25 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
26 KIM Hyunseo 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
27 MISHEV Lila 100% 98% 78% 40% 10% 1%
28 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
29 LIN Annika 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
30 JUNG Sienna 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
31 CHEN Colette 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
32 MAO anna 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4%
33 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
34 HENRY Erin 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% -
35 LIM Eunice 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% -
36 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
37 ZHAO Abbie 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
38 PANCHAL Arya 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
39 WELCH Greta 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
40 STAPLEY Claire 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
40 SULEMAN Yasmin 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
42 BAIRD Kaleah 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
43 YUMIACO Samantha 100% 47% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.