Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONG Hai - - - - 4% 31% 65%
2 MURPHY Genevieve - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
3 PECK Madeleine - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
3 LUO lucy - - - 2% 15% 45% 39%
5 TELEB Farida - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
6 GE Deanna - - 2% 11% 34% 43% 10%
7 ZHAO LIN EN OLIVIA - - - - 5% 32% 63%
8 WEN Cynthia - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20% 1%
9 XING Melly - - - - 6% 34% 59%
10 BYK Karalina - - - 4% 30% 65%
11 MALIK Manha - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
12 LI Doreen - - 6% 28% 43% 21% 2%
12 ZHU Alivia - - 1% 7% 30% 44% 17%
14 CHAN Hailey - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
15 HO Peyton - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
16 HUANG Rosalyn 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
17 JOO Sara - - - - 3% 24% 73%
18 SON Ayoung - - - - 5% 30% 65%
19 MILLER Anna - 2% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
20 ZHILKOV Anya - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
21 KIM Yuna - - 1% 10% 34% 42% 13%
22 WANG Joann - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
23 ZHENG Annalyn - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
24 JIANG Ziqing - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
25 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla - - - 5% 24% 47% 23%
26 ZHU Audrey - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
27 GENG Emma - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
28 FENG Claire - 1% 5% 19% 39% 32% 4%
30 WU Gloria - 2% 12% 37% 41% 8%
31 GONZALEZ Lauren 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
32 KASHUBA Mila - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
33 MA Sophia - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
34 ELLISON Ingrid - - 5% 25% 43% 23% 4%
35 FAROOQI Eliora 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
37 CHEN Aimee - 3% 17% 37% 32% 9% 1%
38 SMOLICH Emily - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
39 HUANG Emma - - 1% 12% 37% 40% 9%
40 KUANG Bella - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
41 LIU Bella - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 3%
42 HAFEZ Sahar - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
43 ZHANG Selene T. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
44 MCCLAIN Madison - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
45 JAZWINSKI Ivy - 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
46 ZHANG Selina - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
47 KHETPAL Aalia - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
48 ZHANG Priscilla - 13% 50% 37%
49 PAEK Ellie 3% 20% 40% 29% 7% -
50 CHEN bridgette - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% -
51 HEMPHILL Mia 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
52 DING Jennifer 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
53 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
54 KIRBY Emelie 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
55 SHAOOLIAN Alexa - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9% 1%
56 FENG Christy 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
57 KIM Lael 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
58 FERRON Sofia 1% 9% 39% 37% 12% 2% -
59 PARK Hannah - 14% 50% 36%
60 CIORUN Isabella - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
61 REILLY Carys - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
61 KLIVANS Gwyneth 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
63 KAGAN Natalie 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
64 HUANG Gabrielle - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
65 JU Victoria - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
66 LI Beatrice - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11% 1%
67 DONG Audrey - 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
68 LU Sophia - 2% 16% 38% 32% 10% 1%
69 CHANG Paige Yijae - 2% 14% 41% 34% 9% 1%
70 LIU Sophia - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
71 XU Charlene - 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
72 CHEN Michelle 1% 15% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
73 DING Jessica 5% 55% 35% 6%
74 MORONES Alieza 23% 44% 27% 6% 1% -
75 LEE Annabel 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
76 BAILEY Maisie 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
77 JIN Emily 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
78 CHEN Arianna - 3% 22% 43% 26% 5% -
79 MCCLAIN Grayce - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7% 1%
80 SHI Cathy 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
81 HO Avery 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
82 TANG Clementine 9% 41% 36% 13% 2% - -
82 LE Minnie 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
84 YAO Emma 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
85 DOMINIK Eliana 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
86 HOLSTAD Anneliese 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
87 CHUNG Sera 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
88 KASHUBA Adriana 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
89 GONG Maggie 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
90 KRYSKO Zlata 14% 42% 35% 9% 1% - -
91 SOMAN Nabha 25% 44% 24% 5% - -
92 HUANG Jiayu - 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
93 HALLEY Jacqueline 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
94 LIU Doris 22% 46% 26% 6% 1% - -
95 MA Cloris 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
96 ZHOU Jennifer 10% 36% 39% 13% 2% - -
97 JIANG Ziqi 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
98 SAKATA Jamie 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
99 CHIN Harper 21% 48% 25% 5% - - -
100 LEE Soli 8% 31% 38% 18% 4% - -
101 TEOH Kaylee 35% 51% 13% 1% - - -
102 TELEB Amina 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
103 MA Laurie 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
104 WANG Allyson 1% 12% 35% 38% 13% 1%
105 JIN Kerina 16% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -
105 JIANG Arwen 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
107 ZELDIN Nina 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
108 FANG Savannah 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
108 ZHU Alicia 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
110 KERSON Emma 46% 42% 10% 1% - - -
111 WANG Michelle 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
111 WANG Amelia 38% 45% 15% 1% - - -
113 NAUTIYAL Asha 87% 12% - -
114 CHEN Aria 65% 30% 4% - - - -
115 WANG Christina 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
116 WILK Catherine 41% 47% 10% 1% - - -
116 ZHANG Amber 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.