Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONG Hai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 PECK Madeleine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 LUO lucy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
5 TELEB Farida 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
6 GE Deanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 10%
7 ZHAO LIN EN OLIVIA 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
8 WEN Cynthia 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 1%
9 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
10 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
11 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
12 LI Doreen 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 23% 2%
12 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 17%
14 CHAN Hailey 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
15 HO Peyton 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
16 HUANG Rosalyn 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
17 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
18 SON Ayoung 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
19 MILLER Anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
20 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
21 KIM Yuna 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 13%
22 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
23 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
24 JIANG Ziqing 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
25 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
26 ZHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
27 GENG Emma 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
28 FENG Claire 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 4%
30 WU Gloria 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 8%
31 GONZALEZ Lauren 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
32 KASHUBA Mila 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
33 MA Sophia 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
34 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 4%
35 FAROOQI Eliora 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
37 CHEN Aimee 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10% 1%
38 SMOLICH Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
39 HUANG Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 9%
40 KUANG Bella 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
41 LIU Bella 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 3%
42 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
43 ZHANG Selene T. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
44 MCCLAIN Madison 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
45 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
46 ZHANG Selina 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
47 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
48 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 87% 37%
49 PAEK Ellie 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
50 CHEN bridgette 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9% -
51 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 4% -
52 DING Jennifer 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 6% -
53 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
54 KIRBY Emelie 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
55 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
56 FENG Christy 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
57 KIM Lael 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
58 FERRON Sofia 100% 99% 90% 51% 14% 2% -
59 PARK Hannah 100% 100% 86% 36%
60 CIORUN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
61 REILLY Carys 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
61 KLIVANS Gwyneth 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
63 KAGAN Natalie 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
64 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
65 JU Victoria 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
66 LI Beatrice 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
67 DONG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 2%
68 LU Sophia 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
69 CHANG Paige Yijae 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 10% 1%
70 LIU Sophia 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
71 XU Charlene 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
72 CHEN Michelle 100% 99% 84% 42% 11% 1% -
73 DING Jessica 100% 95% 40% 6%
74 MORONES Alieza 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
75 LEE Annabel 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
76 BAILEY Maisie 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
77 JIN Emily 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
78 CHEN Arianna 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 6% -
79 MCCLAIN Grayce 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 8% 1%
80 SHI Cathy 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
81 HO Avery 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
82 TANG Clementine 100% 91% 50% 15% 2% - -
82 LE Minnie 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
84 YAO Emma 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
85 DOMINIK Eliana 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
86 HOLSTAD Anneliese 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
87 CHUNG Sera 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
88 KASHUBA Adriana 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
89 GONG Maggie 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
90 KRYSKO Zlata 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% - -
91 SOMAN Nabha 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
92 HUANG Jiayu 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
93 HALLEY Jacqueline 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
94 LIU Doris 100% 78% 32% 7% 1% - -
95 MA Cloris 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
96 ZHOU Jennifer 100% 90% 54% 15% 2% - -
97 JIANG Ziqi 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
98 SAKATA Jamie 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
99 CHIN Harper 100% 79% 31% 5% - - -
100 LEE Soli 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
101 TEOH Kaylee 100% 65% 14% 1% - - -
102 TELEB Amina 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
103 MA Laurie 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
104 WANG Allyson 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
105 JIN Kerina 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% - -
105 JIANG Arwen 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
107 ZELDIN Nina 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
108 FANG Savannah 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
108 ZHU Alicia 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
110 KERSON Emma 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
111 WANG Michelle 100% 71% 27% 5% 1% - -
111 WANG Amelia 100% 62% 17% 1% - - -
113 NAUTIYAL Asha 100% 13% - -
114 CHEN Aria 100% 35% 5% - - - -
115 WANG Christina 100% 63% 18% 3% - - -
116 WILK Catherine 100% 59% 11% 1% - - -
116 ZHANG Amber 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.