January SJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Renasant Convention Center - Memphis, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
2 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 34%
3 CHEN Matthew - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
3 SISINNI Leonardo 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
5 WANDJI Noah - 2% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
6 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
7 MAZAHERI Fletcher - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
8 BIELER Mason 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
9 ZHOU Chenqiao - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 17%
10 LE Jacob H. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
11 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
12 CHENG Logan - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
13 ZHANG Aaron - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
14 OZAWA Taishi - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
15 MORROW Brenden - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
15 YOON Junhyeok - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
17 GUTH Joseph - 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
17 CHUANG Oscar - 1% 8% 32% 44% 16%
19 CHANG Jonathan - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
20 NGUYEN Martin - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
21 SIMONOV Timofey - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
22 TANG Alexander L. - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
23 YAO Bradley - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
24 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
25 HART-SYED declan 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
26 SHIN Noah 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
27 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
28 SHENG Dalton - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
29 KAO Yi Li 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
30 ZHENG Marcus - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
31 RAJ Jay 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
32 YU Kinton 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
33 HAYES Stewart - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
34 FANG Haoyu 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
35 MARTIN Darius - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 10%
36 BAE Eugene - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
37 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 5% 1%
38 CHANG Eric Jonathan 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
39 CHENG Mason 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
40 YANG Steve 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
41 LI Aaron - - 2% 13% 31% 37% 16%
43 WONG Jacob W. 1% 10% 39% 37% 13% 1%
44 LU Andy - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
45 HOWLAND Jonas - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
46 CHA James - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
47 PAN Ethan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
48 LU Alex 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
49 ZHANG Jacob - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
50 BAI Austin 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
51 CHOI Ethan - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
52 HUA Aaron 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
53 LI Lucas 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
54 LEE Jaden 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
55 PARKER Isaiah 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
56 LIM EUNSEONG 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
57 XU Nathan 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
58 LI Daniel 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
59 LU Hongyu - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
60 RAUTUREAU Arthur 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
61 SEIGEL Duncan 11% 38% 34% 14% 3% - -
62 MCKEE Calvin 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
63 CAO Justin 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
64 CHOI Colin 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
65 JIN Andy 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
66 ZOU Aaron 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
67 KIM Daniel 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
68 CHANG Jeremy 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
69 LI Edison M. - 3% 23% 43% 26% 5%
70 GAO Andrew 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
71 HICKEY Connor 4% 18% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
72 YANG Charles 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
73 YANG David H. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
74 FLYNN Oliver 59% 36% 5% - - -
75 FAN Sean 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
76 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
77 SHANNON Jack 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
78 FUKUDA Brando 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
79 MAZAHERI John 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
80 MIRON Ioachim 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
81 MAZAHERI Theodore 83% 16% 1% - - - -
82 HUANG Nathan 19% 55% 23% 3% - -
83 SONG Enoch 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.