Salle Auriol Seattle RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ERPELDING Ryan - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
2 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit - - 4% 15% 34% 34% 13%
3 HE Richard - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
3 XIA Henson - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 12%
5 PETTY Eliot - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
6 WANG Brendan 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
7 LEWIS Isaac - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
8 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
9 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
10 CHEN Brandon 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
11 LIU Nicholas 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
12 LIU Kimtrell - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
13 CHEN Alan - - 1% 19% 41% 31% 8%
14 CAI Lucas 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
15 HADFIELD Gavin 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
16 KIM ZOLLER Jude 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
17 NGUYEN Asher 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
18 CHIN Domyeong 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
19 LUO Nathan 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
20 BATTEN Miles 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% - -
21 MACIE Theodore 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.