Salle Auriol Seattle RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
2 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
3 HE Richard 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
3 XIA Henson 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
5 PETTY Eliot 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
6 WANG Brendan 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
7 LEWIS Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
8 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
9 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
10 CHEN Brandon 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
11 LIU Nicholas 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
12 LIU Kimtrell 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
13 CHEN Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 80% 39% 8%
14 CAI Lucas 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
15 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
16 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
17 NGUYEN Asher 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
18 CHIN Domyeong 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
19 LUO Nathan 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
20 BATTEN Miles 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
21 MACIE Theodore 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.