Midwest SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Canlan Sports Libertyville - Libertyville, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Ashley 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
2 LI Ariel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
3 SHI Elle 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
5 ANDRUS Allie 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
6 CHEN Reina 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
7 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
8 LAI Juliet 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
9 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
10 FRANGER Emma 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
11 NEGRUT Sabina 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
12 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
13 HE Joyce 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
14 SCHLIEP Camellia 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
15 MEGGERS Arya 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
16 LOO Samantha 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
17 GLOEDE Juliana 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
18 CHOI Noah 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
19 URICHECK Julianna 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
20 GROMOVA Vlada 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
21 HUANG Cynthia 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
22 RYU Natalee 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
23 TUMULA Anima 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% -
24 YADAGIRI Aditi 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
25 GROSSMAN Layla 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
26 KWASNY Natalie 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
27 CHUNG Yenna 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
28 VOGL Layla 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
29 ZHANG Joy 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 1%
30 WANG Jenny wang 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
31 MACAL Zoey 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
32 SADLER Aurora 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
33 COONEY Kyla 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
34 PURUSHOTHAM Nina 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
35 MENG Joyce 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
36 LAI Serena 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
37 SADOFSKY Millie 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.