BBFC ROC/RJC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Supreme Courts Basketball Academy - LAS VEGAS, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 59%
2 LEE Royce 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32% 2%
3 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 NIKIFOROV Timofei 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
5 CHOI Chanyoung 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
6 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26% 3%
7 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 38%
8 MALAGUTI marco 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
9 ZHANG Jie 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 30%
10 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
10 SHIN Yubin 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
12 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
13 KIM Kihong 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
14 VOO Lucas 100% 98% 86% 49% 11% 1%
15 SU Samuel 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% -
16 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 19%
17 LIPTON Jason S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
18 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
19 COHEN Benjamin A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
20 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
21 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
22 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
23 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
24 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13%
25 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
26 DILLON Anik 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
27 BLAT Robert 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
28 KIM Gyumin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
29 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
30 CUMMINGS Kai 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
31 KNIGHT Alex 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
32 LEE Inwoo 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
33 GONZALES Wesley 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
34 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
35 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
36 NUGENT Curtis 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
37 TIEMANN Landen 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
38 HERROD Christopher N. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
38 RONG Gordon 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
38 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
41 WANG Lucas 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
42 KAUFMAN Joel H. 100% 100% 98% 78% 29% 4%
43 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
44 SHEPARD Trevor S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
45 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
46 GADHVI Darius 100% 95% 67% 20% 3% - -
47 DELISLE Jonas P. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
48 URCIOLI Phenix 100% 99% 87% 44% 11% 1% -
49 LYMAN Nicolas 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
50 BROWN Korbyn 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
51 WANG Dylan 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
52 MAGNUSON Thomas 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
53 ALLEN David 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
54 WILLIAMS Timothy 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
55 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 89% 54% 16% 1% -
56 LEE Seungwoo 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
57 XUE Michael 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
58 KIM Remington 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
59 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 13%
60 MALLON Jeremy 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
61 KIM Ian 100% 100% 93% 66% 23% 3%
62 CHAO Warren 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
63 GOROZA Eric 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
64 CHEONG Cameron 100% 80% 37% 7% - -
65 SIM Ian 100% 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% 1%
66 COLLINS Vernon 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
67 DENG Andes 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
68 LEE Damien 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
69 BAKKEN Archer 100% 68% 19% 2% - -
70 WHITE Ryden 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
71 RONG Marcus 100% 66% 18% 2% - -
72 LAURSEN Logan 100% 96% 69% 21% 2% -
73 COHEN Joshua 100% 81% 38% 8% - -
74 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% -
75 KOU Mason 100% 74% 19% 2% - - -
76 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5% -
77 WALLIS Wyatt 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
78 ROLDAN Ethan 100% 49% 8% - - - -
79 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
80 ORELUP Austin 100% 94% 66% 23% 4% - -
81 CHI Kai-Hung 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
83 HOLSOPPLE Noah 100% 83% 35% 6% 1% - -
84 KAZMIEROWSKI Chrissa 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
85 MANDEL Christian 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
86 KOU Andrew 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.