AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #3

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAMOYLOV Daniel - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
2 LIN Logan - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 BOROVIKOV Alexander - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
3 CHO Lincoln - - 4% 22% 47% 25%
5 SALIM Ethan - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
6 LEE Cooper 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
7 BENNETTE Graham - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
8 LIM Sejun 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
9 LEUNG Joon - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
10 REN Mark - - 1% 5% 20% 40% 34%
11 KATZEL Charles - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
12 JHA Agastya 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% -
13 MATUSOW Brandon 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
14 AKKARA Skyler 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
15 LIN Conner 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
16 GACIOCH Calvin - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
17 XUE Skyler 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
18 JAMSHIDI Hugo 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
19 POLIAKOV Timur 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
20 OUYANG Anderson 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
21 NISHIOKA Hiro 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
22 BOROWICZ Lukasz 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
23 NHO Lucas 26% 43% 24% 6% - -
24 DARMSTADT-JORY Torben 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
25 WU Alexander 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
26 JIA Aiden 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.