AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #3

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
2 LIN Logan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
3 CHO Lincoln 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 25%
5 SALIM Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
6 LEE Cooper 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
7 BENNETTE Graham 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
8 LIM Sejun 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
9 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
10 REN Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
11 KATZEL Charles 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
12 JHA Agastya 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
13 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
14 AKKARA Skyler 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
15 LIN Conner 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
16 GACIOCH Calvin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
17 XUE Skyler 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
18 JAMSHIDI Hugo 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
19 POLIAKOV Timur 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
20 OUYANG Anderson 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
21 NISHIOKA Hiro 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
22 BOROWICZ Lukasz 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
23 NHO Lucas 100% 74% 31% 6% - -
24 DARMSTADT-JORY Torben 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
25 WU Alexander 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
26 JIA Aiden 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.