Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Secaucus, NJ - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOODWARD Connor - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
2 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - - 4% 29% 66%
3 LINSKY Matthew - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
3 TONG ZACHARY - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
5 FENG Leo - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
6 GINIS Nathan - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
7 WILSON Jude - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
7 CHAN Matthew - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
9 GHAYALOD ansh - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
9 WU Mengke - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 9%
11 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - - - - 2% 25% 72%
12 DENNER Maximilian P. - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
12 GUZZO Vito - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
14 LEE Justin - - 5% 26% 49% 21%
15 BERMAN Luca - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
16 NOURELDIN Gabriel - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 6%
17 MORRILL William - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
18 KIM Shaun M. - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
19 HUANG Ethan F. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
20 COLE Alexander - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
21 WU Wilmund - 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
21 DENG Andrew - - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
23 SHOMAN Noah - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
24 SIMAK Joseph P. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
25 WANG Andy - 5% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
26 MYLEK Peter - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
27 KIM Matthew - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
28 SHTEYN Mark - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
29 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
30 WAXLER Seth B. - - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
31 PANDEY Neil - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
32 WANG Nicolas - 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
33 NOBLE Colin - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
34 ZHENG Edward L. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
35 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
36 HAN Daniel Y. 1% 18% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
37 XUE ALEXANDER - 1% 9% 35% 39% 15% 1%
37 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
39 OWENS Harrison J. 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
40 ROBERTS Justin C. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
41 HONG Steven - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
42 CLYMER Lucas Y. - - 5% 26% 42% 24% 3%
43 ZHOU Brian - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
44 ZHANG Yankun 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
45 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
46 BUCHMANN Finn D. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
46 GIZERSKY Jared 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
48 ETIN Ari 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
49 GIANETTO Ethan K. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
50 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
51 OVERDECK Andrew 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
52 ZHOU Miles - - 4% 22% 42% 28% 4%
53 HO Kaden M. - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
54 ZHANG Jeffrey - 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
55 ALTIRS Giorgio 1% 8% 30% 39% 18% 3% -
56 LEE Aydan J. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
57 CHIN Matthew W. - - 2% 13% 32% 38% 15%
58 LU Caleb Q. 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% -
59 FLOT Tai A. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
60 HUANG Alexander C. - 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2%
61 KOVACH Jonah F. - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
62 ZHANG Derek 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
63 TONG Luke 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
64 ZHU Shao 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
65 SHOMAN Zachary - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
66 NG Jeremiah - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
67 MOULTON Ian 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
68 STONE Esmond A. - 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 3%
69 WANG Robert - 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
70 MARGULIES William - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
71 BREKHMAN Eric - 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
72 RUIGOMEZ Eduardo 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
73 YU Thomas 1% 8% 28% 41% 19% 3% -
74 OH Triton - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
75 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. - 8% 38% 40% 13% 1%
76 CHO Winston - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
77 TURCK Caspar J. - - - 5% 29% 54% 11%
78 CHTERENTAL Alex - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
78 LIU Mingyang Ryan 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
80 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
81 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
82 WEBER Mattias A. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
83 GILSON Lucas B. - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
84 SANDERS Samuel B. - 1% 9% 33% 43% 13% 1%
85 RODE Leon J. - - 1% 10% 32% 42% 14%
86 FIELDS Matthew S. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
87 DEPEW Spencer 2% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
88 WU Richard 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
89 PERRON Robert 4% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
90 MALONE Gregory D. 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
91 CHUANG Tristan 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
92 PENG Bryan 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
93 VAUGHN Jason - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
94 CHENG Cody 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
95 OKEEFE Mitchell 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
96 CHAN Aidan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
97 HUANG Maxwell H. - 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
98 SAVOY Luca - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
99 GONG Jerry 5% 26% 42% 23% 4% - -
100 TANG Charles 5% 33% 40% 18% 4% - -
101 HUROWITZ Max 3% 18% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
102 GAUVEY Kieran 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
103 VOSS Jeffer 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
104 PIWOWAR Alex 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
105 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
105 LIN Steve 3% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
107 DAI William 33% 44% 19% 3% - - -
108 LAM Jeffrey Y. 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
108 WANG Oscar 4% 26% 45% 21% 4% - -
110 HU Christopher - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
111 ZHANG Ethan W. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
112 WELLS Griffin 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
113 YURT Vehbi 60% 35% 5% - - -
114 ZHUANG Rayken 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% -
115 DOWNEY Baran 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
116 HUANG Connor - 4% 32% 45% 17% 2%
117 REN James 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
118 YEE Evan J. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
119 SULLIVAN Aidan J. 1% 8% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
120 LEONARD Charles 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
121 ONG Chinli 17% 43% 31% 8% 1% - -
122 MEHTA Krish - 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
123 MAGNI Jesse 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
124 ZHENG Joshua 33% 44% 20% 4% - - -
125 SU Landon - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
126 KESSLER Josh 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
127 LIU Lawrence 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
128 SPRINGER Patrick 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
129 GAJDA Jesse 22% 58% 19% 2% - -
130 YEE Ethan C. 6% 37% 38% 16% 3% - -
131 POSY Daniel 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
132 CAMPO Alexander P. 38% 45% 16% 2% - - -
133 CHEN Evan P. 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
133 MACDERMOTT Rowan 69% 27% 4% - - - -
135 SEN David 51% 42% 7% - - - -
136 WEIL Asher D. 25% 51% 20% 3% - - -
137 SHIPITSIN Yaroslav 60% 32% 7% 1% - - -
138 CHENG Hong 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
139 SHIPITSIN Alexander < 1% 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
140 HOTHA Nikhil 13% 43% 33% 10% 1% - -
141 PILAT Matthew J. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
142 RUSSELL Clark 62% 32% 6% - - - -
143 ZHOU James Y. 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
144 MAZURENKO Alexander 25% 51% 22% 3% - - -
144 KULKARNI Rohan 37% 47% 14% 2% - - -
144 GOLD Carter 73% 24% 3% - - - -
144 SUN Benjamin 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
148 GUREVICH Savely 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
149 ALI Rahman 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
149 IDRISSI Idris 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
151 JOYCE Cameron 65% 29% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.