Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Secaucus, NJ - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
2 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
3 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
5 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
6 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
7 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
7 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
9 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 61% 21%
9 WU Mengke 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
11 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
12 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
12 GUZZO Vito 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
14 LEE Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 21%
15 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
16 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
17 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
18 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
19 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
20 COLE Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
21 WU Wilmund 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
21 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
23 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
24 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 35% 8%
25 WANG Andy 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
26 MYLEK Peter 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
27 KIM Matthew 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
28 SHTEYN Mark 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
29 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
30 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
31 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
32 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
33 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
34 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5%
35 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
36 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
37 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 16% 1%
37 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
39 OWENS Harrison J. 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
40 ROBERTS Justin C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
41 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
42 CLYMER Lucas Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 3%
43 ZHOU Brian 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
44 ZHANG Yankun 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
45 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
46 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
46 GIZERSKY Jared 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
48 ETIN Ari 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
49 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
50 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
51 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
52 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 4%
53 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
54 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
55 ALTIRS Giorgio 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3% -
56 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
57 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
58 LU Caleb Q. 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
59 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
60 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
61 KOVACH Jonah F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
62 ZHANG Derek 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
63 TONG Luke 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
64 ZHU Shao 100% 98% 85% 55% 24% 6% 1%
65 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
66 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
67 MOULTON Ian 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
68 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
69 WANG Robert 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
70 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 27% 5%
71 BREKHMAN Eric 100% 100% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
72 RUIGOMEZ Eduardo 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
73 YU Thomas 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 3% -
74 OH Triton 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
75 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 100% 91% 54% 14% 1%
76 CHO Winston 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
77 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 11%
78 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
78 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
80 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
81 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
82 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
83 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
84 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 13% 1%
85 RODE Leon J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
86 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
87 DEPEW Spencer 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
88 WU Richard 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
89 PERRON Robert 100% 96% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
90 MALONE Gregory D. 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
91 CHUANG Tristan 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
92 PENG Bryan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
93 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
94 CHENG Cody 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
95 OKEEFE Mitchell 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
96 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
97 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 97% 74% 36% 9% 1%
98 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
99 GONG Jerry 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% - -
100 TANG Charles 100% 95% 63% 22% 4% - -
101 HUROWITZ Max 100% 97% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
102 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
103 VOSS Jeffer 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
104 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
105 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
105 LIN Steve 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 3% -
107 DAI William 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
108 LAM Jeffrey Y. 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
108 WANG Oscar 100% 96% 70% 25% 4% - -
110 HU Christopher 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
111 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
112 WELLS Griffin 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
113 YURT Vehbi 100% 40% 5% - - -
114 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
115 DOWNEY Baran 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
116 HUANG Connor 100% 100% 96% 64% 19% 2%
117 REN James 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% 1%
118 YEE Evan J. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
119 SULLIVAN Aidan J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
120 LEONARD Charles 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
121 ONG Chinli 100% 83% 40% 8% 1% - -
122 MEHTA Krish 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
123 MAGNI Jesse 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -
124 ZHENG Joshua 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
125 SU Landon 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
126 KESSLER Josh 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
127 LIU Lawrence 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% -
128 SPRINGER Patrick 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
129 GAJDA Jesse 100% 78% 21% 2% - -
130 YEE Ethan C. 100% 94% 57% 19% 3% - -
131 POSY Daniel 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
132 CAMPO Alexander P. 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
133 CHEN Evan P. 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
133 MACDERMOTT Rowan 100% 31% 4% - - - -
135 SEN David 100% 49% 7% - - - -
136 WEIL Asher D. 100% 75% 24% 4% - - -
137 SHIPITSIN Yaroslav 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
138 CHENG Hong 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
139 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
140 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 87% 45% 11% 1% - -
141 PILAT Matthew J. 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
142 RUSSELL Clark 100% 38% 6% - - - -
143 ZHOU James Y. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
144 MAZURENKO Alexander 100% 75% 25% 3% - - -
144 KULKARNI Rohan 100% 63% 16% 2% - - -
144 GOLD Carter 100% 27% 3% - - - -
144 SUN Benjamin 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
148 GUREVICH Savely 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
149 ALI Rahman 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
149 IDRISSI Idris 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
151 JOYCE Cameron 100% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.