Event Results
The Midwinter MeleeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SMITH Liam | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 2 | ULYSSE Jacob | V V V V | V V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 3 | GECKELER James | V D V D | V V V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 3 | CHOU-ESTEBAN pau | V V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 5 | DAO-CRESPO Joaquin | V V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 6 | MINOR Payson | V V D V | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 7 | KIM Claire J. | V D V D V | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 8 | CHO Alexander | V V D D | V V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 9 | HOWARD Fox | V V V V D | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 10 | LAVINE Samantha | D V V V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 11 | KEEGAN Cole | V D V V D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 12 | MASTROPAOLO Jonah | V V D D V | D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 13 | BOURNE Zane | D D V V | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 14 | QUAN Noah | D V D V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 15 | DAVIDSON Henry | D D D V D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 16 | PRINZ-STRATEMAN Matilda | D D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 17 | BASILE Gianna | D D V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 | |
| 18 | BARBANEL Joseph | D D D V D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 19 | KISIEL Lucas | D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 20 | GRANADOS Luis | D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 21 | GOMEZ Sofia | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 22 | SKYRM Spencer | D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |