February NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, February 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
2 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - - - 4% 96%
3 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - < 1% 1% 6% 31% 63%
3 CHOI Silas - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
5 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - - 3% 97%
6 YEN Darren - - - 1% 8% 40% 51%
7 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
8 JI Cody Walter - - - - 5% 28% 67%
9 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 4% 34% 62%
10 HENDERSON Lucas 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% < 1%
11 ESCUETA Tony V. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
12 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
13 HOMER Daryl D. - - - - - 5% 95%
14 HOLZ Daniel - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
15 LI Howard - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
16 POFF Kainoa - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
17 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
18 HU Chris - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
19 TSE Aiden J - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
19 CHUNG Connor - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12% 1%
21 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
22 KIM Shaun M. - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
23 LEE Noah - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
24 SCHARDINE James 1% 10% 33% 40% 15% 2%
25 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
26 CHEN Jonathan 6% 27% 42% 22% 4% -
27 EICHHORN Lukas H. - 1% 7% 32% 43% 17%
28 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 1% 5% 25% 50% 20%
29 LUAN Mark 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
30 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
31 LIN Daniel - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
32 VAID Luke - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
33 GONZALEZ Jake - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
34 LIM William J. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
35 CHEONG Heonjun - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
36 BERRIO Carter E. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
36 MATTOO Surya 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
38 TAO Jeffrey - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 1%
39 SIERADZKY Dawson - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
40 HONG Rubin - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 12%
41 PINTO Marcus 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
42 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
43 WANG Max 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
44 PRIMUS Nazir - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
45 WANG Tiger 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
46 CAO Oliver 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
47 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
48 KOZLOFF Wyatt 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
49 FALCON-KORB Mathis 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
50 JOO Jeein - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 15%
51 HOLZ Lucas 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
52 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 5% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
53 YAN William - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 1%
54 ANDRES Michael - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11% -
55 KWALWASSER Eric - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
55 RAMANAN Govind 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
57 GONG Alex 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
57 KIM ELIJAH 3% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
59 LI Yiwei - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
60 HUANG Alex F. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
61 LAUB William 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
62 TE VELDE Noah C. - - - < 1% 5% 28% 67%
63 LIN Grant 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% - -
64 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
65 GUFFEY Christopher 1% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
66 LEE Aydan J. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
67 AN Damon 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
68 KANG Evan R. 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
69 VEDRE Neil 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% < 1% -
70 LU Xinzhen - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
71 KIM Ethan 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
72 ERMAKOV Semeon 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
73 SU Landon - 1% 9% 34% 41% 15%
74 SIDDIQUI Shayan 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
75 WANG Will 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
76 ZHANG Kaixuan 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
77 LIU Jerry 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
77 BIAN Hongyu 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
79 WANG Daniel - 1% 7% 24% 40% 26% 1%
80 LIN Philip T. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
80 YANG Dylan 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
82 CHON Collin - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
83 IYER Neil 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
84 DENNER Max P. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 14%
85 DUMOULIN Gabriel 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
86 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
87 GERSTMANN Max T. 16% 42% 33% 8% 1% -
88 LEE Brady 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
88 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
90 WANG ANDREW CHANG 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
91 ELARABY Mazen - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
92 HJERPE Wade H. - 1% 6% 28% 48% 18%
93 FLOT Tai A. 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
93 GREMILLION Obadiah 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
95 CHON Taylor A. - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
96 UEMOTO Ken 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
97 ONG Dylan 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
97 NG Jonathan - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
97 AO Christopher 6% 25% 36% 25% 7% 1% -
100 MEYERSON Jacob 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4% -
101 LIU Kelly - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
102 MICLAUS Justin - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
103 CIEMINS Henry 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
104 JONES Graham H. 3% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
105 ALAVE Kyle 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
105 WEI Rian 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
107 MATTOO Deven - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
108 CHAVES Matthew J. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
109 MCDONALD Finn 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
110 CHO RYAN 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
111 AGARWAAL Yohan 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
112 SHANKWILER Christopher 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
113 WANG Nicolas - - 4% 25% 45% 25%
114 LUHAN Zachary 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
115 FRIAS SAUL F. - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
116 PARK Inwoo 26% 45% 24% 5% - -
117 GEFELL Andrew P. - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
118 IM Tyler 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
119 KOVALEV Daniil N. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
120 SANGSTER Arden 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
121 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 12% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
121 WANG Justin 1% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
121 WANG Jerry 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
124 SAGE Sebastian 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
125 ANAND Rishab 11% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
126 BAE Jason I. - - 4% 20% 42% 32% 1%
127 CLARK Aram 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
128 LIN Maxim - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28% 1%
129 AYDOGDU Hakan 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
130 KATZ Ryan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
131 WU Yiyang 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
132 WANG Theodore 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
134 ZHAO Chen Fei 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
135 MAKLIN Edward P. - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
136 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
137 ZHAO Lucas 1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
138 GUREWICH Benjamin 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
139 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4% -
140 LIN Felix 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
141 KIM Kendrick 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
142 BOOTH Zaheer - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
143 RAI Avin - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
144 RIGHTLER Samuel - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
144 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
146 QIU Nathan 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 4%
147 MEHAN Nicholas 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
148 KANG Evan 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
149 PIWOWAR Alex 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
150 ATWOOD Griffin 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
151 OH Aster 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
152 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
153 WESLER Logan A. 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
153 SADHU Neiyam 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% - -
153 KHOTLINE Daniel 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
156 KANG Matthew 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
157 PI Alexander - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
157 ALFAU LARACUENTE Gabriel 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
159 PORTER Dupree 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
160 LI Alex Y. 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1% -
161 YADAV Lakshya 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
162 YOOK Isaac 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
163 CHENG Brandon 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% - -
164 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
165 SUN Andrew 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
166 WANG Samuel 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
167 JI Johnson 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
168 NARDINI Nathanael P. 23% 45% 27% 5% - -
169 TSAO Oliver 18% 43% 31% 7% 1% -
169 ZHAO Royce 19% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
171 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
172 FENG Brendan 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
173 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
174 WAXLER Ryan 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
175 PATEL Rayn - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
176 KUSHKOV Daniel - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
177 YANG Phillip 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
178 CAO Donald 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
179 LIU Kevin 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
180 BOLLU Viren 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
181 BARTOLO Domenic V. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
182 WALKER Dalton F. - < 1% - 4% 24% 53% 18%
182 DECK Tyson 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
184 LIU Aaron 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
184 DESAUTELS Connor 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
186 ZEWDA Kebron 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
187 HALL Noah 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
188 COBIAN Richard 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
189 SUN Andy 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
190 HERNANDEZ Stanton 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
191 SO Preston - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6% -
192 KOTVALI Aneesh 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
192 CRAIN Bennett 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
194 BAUER Hank E. - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10% -
194 SUBA Lucas 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
196 TOZZI Massimo 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
196 WANG HongXi 33% 44% 19% 3% - - -
198 GHISLAIN-FERNANDEZ Alexandre 10% 28% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
199 ZWAKA Jonas 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
200 BIVIJI Ali 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
201 CHEN Samuel 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
202 LIM Brandon 21% 44% 28% 7% - -
202 LAZARTE Gabriel 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
204 NGO Maximus 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
205 CHAN Elliott 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
205 PEREIRA Beckham 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
205 WANG Matthew 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
208 KITSON Chase 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
209 ABDELLAHI Aziz 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.