February NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, February 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
2 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96%
3 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
3 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
6 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
7 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
8 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
9 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 62%
10 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% < 1%
11 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
12 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
13 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
14 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
15 LI Howard 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
16 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 17% 2%
17 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
18 HU Chris 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
19 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
19 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
21 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
22 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
23 LEE Noah 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
24 SCHARDINE James 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 2%
25 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
26 CHEN Jonathan 100% 94% 67% 25% 4% -
27 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 17%
28 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 20%
29 LUAN Mark 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
30 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
31 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
32 VAID Luke 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
33 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 20% 2%
34 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
35 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
36 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
36 MATTOO Surya 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
38 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
39 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
40 HONG Rubin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 12%
41 PINTO Marcus 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5% -
42 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
43 WANG Max 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
44 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
45 WANG Tiger 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
46 CAO Oliver 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
47 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
48 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
49 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
50 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
51 HOLZ Lucas 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
52 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
53 YAN William 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
54 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11% -
55 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
55 RAMANAN Govind 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
57 GONG Alex 100% 58% 17% 3% - -
57 KIM ELIJAH 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
59 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
60 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 10%
61 LAUB William 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
62 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
63 LIN Grant 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
64 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
65 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2%
66 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 37%
67 AN Damon 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
68 KANG Evan R. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
69 VEDRE Neil 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% < 1% -
70 LU Xinzhen 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
71 KIM Ethan 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
72 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
73 SU Landon 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
74 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
75 WANG Will 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
76 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
77 LIU Jerry 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
77 BIAN Hongyu 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
79 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 1%
80 LIN Philip T. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
80 YANG Dylan 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
82 CHON Collin 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 35% 5%
83 IYER Neil 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
84 DENNER Max P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
85 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
86 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
87 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 84% 42% 9% 1% -
88 LEE Brady 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
88 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
90 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
91 ELARABY Mazen 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
92 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 66% 18%
93 FLOT Tai A. 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
93 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
95 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
96 UEMOTO Ken 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
97 ONG Dylan 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
97 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
97 AO Christopher 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
100 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4% -
101 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
102 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
103 CIEMINS Henry 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
104 JONES Graham H. 100% 97% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
105 ALAVE Kyle 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
105 WEI Rian 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
107 MATTOO Deven 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 17% 2%
108 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
109 MCDONALD Finn 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
110 CHO RYAN 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
111 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
112 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
113 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
114 LUHAN Zachary 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
115 FRIAS SAUL F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
116 PARK Inwoo 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
117 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
118 IM Tyler 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
119 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
120 SANGSTER Arden 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
121 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
121 WANG Justin 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
121 WANG Jerry 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
124 SAGE Sebastian 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
125 ANAND Rishab 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
126 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 1%
127 CLARK Aram 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
128 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28% 1%
129 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
130 KATZ Ryan 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
131 WU Yiyang 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
132 WANG Theodore 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
134 ZHAO Chen Fei 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
135 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 19% 3%
136 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
137 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6% -
138 GUREWICH Benjamin 100% 89% 55% 21% 5% - -
139 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4% -
140 LIN Felix 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
141 KIM Kendrick 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
142 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
143 RAI Avin 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
144 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
144 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
146 QIU Nathan 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
147 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
148 KANG Evan 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
149 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
150 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
151 OH Aster 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1% -
152 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
153 WESLER Logan A. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
153 SADHU Neiyam 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
153 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
156 KANG Matthew 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
157 PI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
157 ALFAU LARACUENTE Gabriel 100% 87% 54% 19% 3% - -
159 PORTER Dupree 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
160 LI Alex Y. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
161 YADAV Lakshya 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
162 YOOK Isaac 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
163 CHENG Brandon 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
164 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
165 SUN Andrew 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
166 WANG Samuel 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
167 JI Johnson 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
168 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 77% 32% 5% - -
169 TSAO Oliver 100% 82% 39% 8% 1% -
169 ZHAO Royce 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
171 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
172 FENG Brendan 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
173 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
174 WAXLER Ryan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
175 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% 1%
176 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
177 YANG Phillip 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
178 CAO Donald 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
179 LIU Kevin 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
180 BOLLU Viren 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
181 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
182 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 18%
182 DECK Tyson 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
184 LIU Aaron 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
184 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
186 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 8% 1%
187 HALL Noah 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
188 COBIAN Richard 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
189 SUN Andy 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
190 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
191 SO Preston 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6% -
192 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
192 CRAIN Bennett 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
194 BAUER Hank E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10% -
194 SUBA Lucas 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
196 TOZZI Massimo 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
196 WANG HongXi 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
198 GHISLAIN-FERNANDEZ Alexandre 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
199 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
200 BIVIJI Ali 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
201 CHEN Samuel 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
202 LIM Brandon 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
202 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
204 NGO Maximus 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
205 CHAN Elliott 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
205 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
205 WANG Matthew 100% 63% 23% 4% - - -
208 KITSON Chase 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
209 ABDELLAHI Aziz 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.