Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GAINES Aaron | V V V V V D | V V V V V V | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 2 | MECHKOV Iliya | V V D V V D | V V V V V D | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 3 | HEDGES Philip S. | V D V V V V | V V V V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 3 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | D V V V D | V V V V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 5 | O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| 6 | LICHTEN Keith H. | V V D V V V | V V V D | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 7 | SNIDER Jeffrey H. | D V D V V V | V V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 8 | BARREIRO Darren | D V V D V D | V V V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 9 | WHEELER Daniel | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| 10 | PHO Eric | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 11 | GATES Darcy C. | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 12 | PRIHODKO Andrew | V D V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 13 | ZUCKER Noah L. | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 14 | MARSH Timothy G. | D V V D V V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 15 | JOYCE David | D D V V D D | V V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 16 | YAKIMENKO Andrei | D D D V V D | V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 17 | REID Brentwood P. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 18 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | D V V V V V | V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 19 | LE DEVEHAT Yannick | D D V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 20 | CRANOR Erich L. | V D V V D V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 21 | STEWART Robert | V D D V V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 22 | CHENG Thomas | V V D V D D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 23 | CHEN Steve | V V D V D D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 24 | GALEOTTI Loriano | D V D V V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 25 | MEEHAN Justin X. | V D V V D D | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 26 | GERACI Paul A. | D D V D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 27 | ATKINS Benjamin | V D D D V | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 28 | SPRINGER Michael | D D D V D V | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 29 | KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. | V V D D D D | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 30 | HELGE James R. | D D D V V D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 31 | GERSEN Jacob | D V V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 32 | MCNAMARA Scott | V D D D D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 33 | HABIB Farooq | D V V V V V | D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 34 | BLAT Robert | V V V D V V | D | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| 35 | NUDELMAN Aleksandr | D V V V V | D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 36 | BARTLETT Jonathan R. | V D D V V V | D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 37 | GREENBAUM Isaac | V V D V D V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 38 | MEHALL Michael | D V V V V D | D | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 39 | WILSON Jeffrey M. | V V V D D V | D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 40 | CLAWSON Brian C. | V V V V D D | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 41 | WAY Kashi M. | V V D D V V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 42 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | V D V V D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 43 | WILKINSON Derek H. | V V D D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 44 | GAUVEY Ken C. | V D V V D D | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 45 | HUNTER Justin | D V V V D D | D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 46 | TEITENBERG John F. | D D V V D V | D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 47 | GAO "George" Xiaojiang | V D V D D V | D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 48 | KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. | V D D V D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 49 | MENDOZA Zandro | V V V D D D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 50 | KOKENGE Chad | D D D V D V | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 51 | KENT Dwain | V D D D V D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 52 | RODACHY Jeffrey M. | V D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 53 | YAO Shun | V D D D D V | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 54 | TRAN John | V D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 55 | HARRIS Robert S. | V D D D D V | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 56 | ELTERMAN Lev | D V D D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 57 | PIENTA Chris J. | D D D D V V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 58 | BAGAMANOV Ruslan | D V D D V D | D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 59 | DANIELS Jonathan | D V D D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 60 | KLINE R. Jay | D D D D V D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 61 | KURITZ Marc M. | D D V D D D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 62 | CLAYTON Byron | D D D D V D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 63 | CAMPBELL Paul | D D D D D D | V D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 64 | MARINI Davide | D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 65 | DELONG Mike | D D V D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 66 | SANTOS Felipe | D D D D D V | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 67 | DAVIS Kelly | D V D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 68 | ROGERS John D. | D D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 69 | VERWORN Jonathan | D D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.