Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HURME Tommi K. | V V D V | V V V V V | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 2 | HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 3 | MACZIK Adam W. | V D V D V | V V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 3 | LIOU Solomon | D V D V V | V V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 5 | CONKLIN Jim | V V V V | V V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 6 | SPROWLES Cameron D. | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 7 | MANDOKI Sandor I. | V V V D V | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 8 | MAKMATOV Vadim | D D V D D | V V D | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| 9 | TSINIS Alexander E. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 10 | CHRISTY Peter C. | V V V V V | V D | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| 11 | YAMASAKI Kyle A. | D V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 12 | OLIVERIUS Joseph W. | V V V V D | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 13 | COX Matthew T. | V D V V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 14 | DEPAUW Devan | D V D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 15 | CHU Brandon A. | V D D V V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 16 | FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. | V V D V D | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 17 | CARTER Austin L. | V V V V V | D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 18 | FENOUL Frederic | V V V V D | D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 19 | SUVOROV Yuly | D D V V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 20 | LEWIS-RAMIREZ Ben | V V D D V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 21 | MCGRATH Sean L. | D V V D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 22 | GOLCU Doruk | V D D V V | D | 1.0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| 23 | STOCK Jordan | D D V D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 24 | ELBAG Mark H. | V D D D V | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 25 | POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. | D V V D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 26 | MCNALLY Thomas J. | V D D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 27 | LAWLOR Lee | V D D V D | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 28 | KIM Jeff | D D V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 29 | VALENTINE Shem | V V D D D D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 30 | MORET Eric N. | D V D D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 31 | KRIEGER Nathanial | D D D V D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 32 | SUCHOSKI Annika | D D D D D | V D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 33 | ISAAC Mena | D V V D D | D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 34 | EVERT Todd | D V D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 35 | PEI Suyang | D V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 37 | LOCASALE Nicholas A. | D D D D V | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 38 | REED David | D D V D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 39 | FULLER II Thomas | D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 40 | TURNER Joshua | D D D V D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 41 | CHI Kai-Hung | D D D D V D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 42 | COLE Matthew | D D D D D V | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 43 | MIZRAHI Meir | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.