Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | AMELI Sean | V V D V D V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 2 | DRAGONETTI Walter E. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 3 | WATRALL Rick | V V D D V | V V V V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 3 | HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. | V V D V V V | V V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 5 | FRANK Fred | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 6 | OCHS Bradley C. | D V V V V V | V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 7 | MCDONNELL Michael | V V D V D | V V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 8 | FREY Wayne N. | V D V D V D | V V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 9 | WALTING Paul J. | V V V V V | V D | 1.2 | 5 | +3.8 |
| 10 | LANG Markus | V V V V V D | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 11 | LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. | V D V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 12 | KAROLAK Dale W. | V V D V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 13 | BECK Brian C. | D V V V D V | V D | 1.1 | 4 | +2.9 |
| 14 | EDWARDS Tim | V V V D V D | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 15 | GILLHAM Timothy A. | V D D V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 16 | VARNEY John R. | D V V D V | V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 17 | SUPONYA Sergey | V V V V D | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 18 | LOEFFLER Carl E. | V D D V V V | V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 19 | EVANS Allen L. | V V V V D D | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 20 | LIPTON Michael D. | D V V D V | V D | 0.6 | 3 | +2.4 |
| 21 | BOLDUC PATRICE | V D D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 22 | NIXON Mark | V V D V D D | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 23 | RANES Evan | V D D D V V | V D | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| 24 | DELGADO Jr. Eli M. | D V D V D V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 25 | HANAHAN Thomas M. | V V D D D V | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 26 | PERKA Michael | V V D D D V | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 27 | HUGHES Michael D. | D D V V D V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 28 | HITCHCOCK David | V D V D D | V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 29 | BRUS Brian V. | D V D D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 30 | FANGMAN Daniel L. | D D D V D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 31 | CRETEN joachim | D D V D D D | V D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 32 | SWANSON Dave | D D D D D D | V D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 33 | ALTMAN Jeff H. | D D V V V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 34 | GREGORY Dean | D D V V V V | D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 35 | O'DOWD Andrew J. | D D V V V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 36 | BAER Bryan G. | V D V V D | D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 37 | WAGMAN Robert S. | D V V D D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 38 | PAVLOVICH Robert | V V D D V D | D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 39 | KERTESZ Stefan G. | D D D V V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 40 | JENSEN David | D D V D V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 41 | BAXTER David | D V D D D V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 42 | BEITTEL David F. | D V V D D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 43 | POPPRE Michael N. | D D V V D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 44 | WHITELOCK James R. | V D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 45 | TREANOR Donald K. | D D D V V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 46 | MASE James B. | D V D D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 47 | HERROD Christopher N. | V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 47 | KRUGER Mark | D D V D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 49 | SIMS Martin L. | D D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 50 | HAYENGA Gary M. | D D D D V D | D | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
| 51 | CISNEROS Robert A. | D V D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 52 | LONADIER Robert | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 53 | MALLOY Christopher B. | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.