Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MOREAU John A. | V D V V V | V V V V V | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 2 | GLASS Timothy C. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| 3 | SWICK Kerry J. | D D D D V | V V V V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 3 | MARIANI Lou | V V V V V | V V V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 5 | JUGAN Bruce M. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 6 | BLAKLEY Dwain | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 7 | RICHARDS Dick | V V V V D | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 8 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | D D V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 9 | TAYLOR Daryl J. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 10 | SIMMONS Matthew C. | V V V V V D | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 11 | PATTERSON Malcolm (Werewolf) D. | V D V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 12 | LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. | V D V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 13 | GOOSSENS Bruno | D V V V D V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 14 | GELNAW William (Gypsy) H. | D V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 15 | FLINT James E. | V V D V D | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 16 | NEWSOME James L. | V D V V D D | V V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 17 | TKACH Robert W. | V V V V V | D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 18 | ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. | V V V D D V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | KRAMER Mark | V V D D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 20 | TYSON Julian F. | V D D V V | D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 21 | ALPERSTEIN Donald W. | V D V D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 22 | WHEELER Mark C. | D V D V V D | V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 23 | PARY Theodore | D V D D V V | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 24 | JEFFERIES Jonathan J. | V D D D V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 25 | RESS Michael A. | D V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 26 | DARRICAU OLY Henri J. | D V V D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 27 | HEWITT Frank F. | D V D V D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 28 | ALEXANDER Chuck | D D V D V | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 29 | HUNKER Frederick | D V V D D D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 30 | HVIDING Ketil | D D D V D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 31 | ROSENTHAL Paul E. | D D D D D V | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 32 | CASTELLANOS Rene E. | D D D D D | V D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 33 | KLEIN Johannes | D D V D V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 34 | SPAHN Jeff | V V D D V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 35 | MEHALL Michael | V D V V D D | D | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| 36 | CARTER Tony | V D D D V | D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 37 | MORGAN Michael (Mike) S. | D D D V V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 38 | SMITH Herman E. | D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 39 | HENRY Mark R. | V D D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 40 | RIDLEY Alan P. | D V D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 41 | ANDERSON Donald | D D D V D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 42 | MATTHEWS John (Doc) C. | D V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 43 | LANDIS Geoffrey A. | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 44 | GALLIVAN James | D D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 45 | FRANK William N. | D D D D D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.