February NAC

Vet-70 Men's Épée

Friday, February 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOREAU John A. - - 4% 22% 47% 26%
2 GLASS Timothy C. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
3 SWICK Kerry J. 11% 37% 38% 13% 2% -
3 MARIANI Lou 1% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2%
5 JUGAN Bruce M. - - 2% 17% 46% 34%
6 BLAKLEY Dwain - - 4% 19% 40% 31% 6%
7 RICHARDS Dick - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
8 DOWNEY Gerard C. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
9 TAYLOR Daryl J. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
10 SIMMONS Matthew C. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
11 PATTERSON Malcolm (Werewolf) D. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
12 LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
13 GOOSSENS Bruno - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
14 GELNAW William (Gypsy) H. 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 5%
15 FLINT James E. 14% 40% 35% 10% 1% -
16 NEWSOME James L. - - 3% 16% 40% 34% 7%
17 TKACH Robert W. 1% 9% 33% 37% 17% 3%
18 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. - 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
19 KRAMER Mark 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
20 TYSON Julian F. - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
21 ALPERSTEIN Donald W. 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
22 WHEELER Mark C. - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 14%
23 PARY Theodore - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
24 JEFFERIES Jonathan J. - 11% 36% 37% 13% 2% -
25 RESS Michael A. - 2% 12% 34% 38% 15%
26 DARRICAU OLY Henri J. - 6% 26% 44% 21% 3%
27 HEWITT Frank F. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
28 ALEXANDER Chuck 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
29 HUNKER Frederick - 14% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
30 HVIDING Ketil 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
31 ROSENTHAL Paul E. 15% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
32 CASTELLANOS Rene E. 33% 44% 20% 4% - -
33 KLEIN Johannes - 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
34 SPAHN Jeff 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
35 MEHALL Michael 18% 54% 24% 4% - - -
36 CARTER Tony - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
37 MORGAN Michael (Mike) S. 2% 28% 42% 23% 5% - -
38 SMITH Herman E. 16% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
39 HENRY Mark R. 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
40 RIDLEY Alan P. 17% 46% 29% 7% 1% -
41 ANDERSON Donald 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
42 MATTHEWS John (Doc) C. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
43 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
44 GALLIVAN James 66% 31% 2% - - - -
45 FRANK William N. 88% 11% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.