February NAC

Vet-40 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FERRARA Nicholas S. 1% 12% 39% 39% 9%
3 GREENE Joseph T. - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
3 CHEN Brian 7% 35% 41% 16% 2%
5 ROBLES Julio C. - 2% 15% 36% 36% 11%
6 ZIRKLE James - 2% 16% 44% 37%
7 ZONG Yujie 1% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
8 LIU Jerry 8% 39% 40% 12% 1%
9 REA Franklin T. - - 7% 35% 58%
10 ABDELLAHI Aziz 5% 29% 42% 20% 3%
11 WAXLER Aaron M. - 5% 28% 46% 21%
12 HU David 1% 12% 35% 37% 15% 2%
13 SEIDEL Jonathan J. - 3% 22% 46% 29%
14 TERENTIEV Max 1% 8% 31% 43% 17%
15 TOPPER Michael 3% 25% 44% 25% 3%
16 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 1% 20% 40% 30% 9% 1%
17 CHU Brandon A. 14% 51% 30% 6% -
18 MOODY Paul J. 58% 35% 6% - -
19 BROWN Jeremy 58% 35% 6% - -
20 MAUREL Nicolas 1% 13% 40% 36% 10%
21 YADAV Ajay 81% 17% 1% - - -
22 MILLS Matthew P. 53% 37% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.