February NAC

Vet-40 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FERRARA Nicholas S. 100% 99% 88% 48% 9%
3 GREENE Joseph T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 CHEN Brian 100% 93% 58% 18% 2%
5 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
6 ZIRKLE James 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
7 ZONG Yujie 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 1%
8 LIU Jerry 100% 92% 52% 13% 1%
9 REA Franklin T. 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
10 ABDELLAHI Aziz 100% 95% 66% 23% 3%
11 WAXLER Aaron M. 100% 100% 95% 67% 21%
12 HU David 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2%
13 SEIDEL Jonathan J. 100% 100% 97% 75% 29%
14 TERENTIEV Max 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
15 TOPPER Michael 100% 97% 72% 28% 3%
16 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 99% 79% 39% 9% 1%
17 CHU Brandon A. 100% 86% 36% 6% -
18 MOODY Paul J. 100% 42% 7% - -
19 BROWN Jeremy 100% 42% 7% - -
20 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 99% 86% 46% 10%
21 YADAV Ajay 100% 19% 1% - - -
22 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 47% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.