IUP After Valentines Duel

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Zink Gyms A and B, Indiana University of PA - Indiana, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 COPENHAVER Edward 100% 100% 99% 85% 45% 6%
2 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 CARELLI Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 90% 51% 10%
3 MAYER-STALEY Jace 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
5 KNIGHT Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
6 TARCHICHI Daniel 100% 100% 97% 76% 30% 3%
7 KREUTEL Harrison 100% 100% 99% 89% 49% 7%
8 ERDNER Graham 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
9 COYLE Emma 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3%
10 JIANG Zhanyu 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
11 KABUS Ethan 100% 93% 61% 18% 2% -
12 MACKLIN Victoria 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
13 BHANDARI Trevor 100% 88% 48% 13% 1% -
14 SODOWSKY Thomas 100% 89% 46% 11% 1% -
15 MYRICK Kaitlyn 100% 91% 56% 16% 1% -
16 HENDRYCH Matthew 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
17 YU Chien-Hui 100% 59% 16% 1% - -
18 CRAMER Lily 100% 63% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.