F.A.O.P. North Open Foil

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Fencing Academy of Philadelphia-North - Wyncote, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAPPALA Nikolai - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
2 KOLBINGER Moritz - - 5% 21% 40% 29% 5%
3 LUM-DEBONO Alex - - 1% 13% 49% 37%
3 ROJAS Elijah 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
5 MCLENDON Dario 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
6 COGSWELL Michael A. - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 18%
7 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
8 DESMOND Sterling - 5% 27% 49% 17% 2%
9 ZHANG Ethan - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
10 SIELSKI Evan 7% 35% 44% 13% 1% -
11 MCLENDON Diego - - 1% 12% 49% 38%
12 TSIMBERG Jadon 11% 42% 37% 9% 1% -
13 ZHANG Julian 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
14 SANTHOSH Rithwik 32% 42% 20% 4% - - -
15 ALABI Adriel 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
16 PEARCE Joseph 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
17 COSSROW Alex - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
18 DUCK Raphael 52% 39% 9% 1% - -
19 WARD Evan 14% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.