F.A.O.P. North Open Foil

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Fencing Academy of Philadelphia-North - Wyncote, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
2 KOLBINGER Moritz 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
3 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 37%
3 ROJAS Elijah 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
5 MCLENDON Dario 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
6 COGSWELL Michael A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
7 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
8 DESMOND Sterling 100% 100% 95% 67% 18% 2%
9 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
10 SIELSKI Evan 100% 93% 58% 14% 1% -
11 MCLENDON Diego 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
12 TSIMBERG Jadon 100% 89% 47% 10% 1% -
13 ZHANG Julian 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
14 SANTHOSH Rithwik 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
15 ALABI Adriel 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
16 PEARCE Joseph 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
17 COSSROW Alex 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
18 DUCK Raphael 100% 48% 9% 1% - -
19 WARD Evan 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.