Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LICHTEN Keith H. | V V V V D D | V V V V V V V | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| 2 | MACZIK Adam W. | V V V V V | V V V V V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 3 | KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. | D V D V D | V V V V V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 3 | YAMASAKI Kyle A. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 5 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | V V V V D V | V V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 6 | HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. | D V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 7 | GERSEN Jacob | V V V D V V | V V V V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 8 | ZUCKER Noah L. | V V V V D | V V V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 9 | PRIHODKO Andrew | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 10 | CARTER Austin L. | D V V V V V | V V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 11 | CHRISTY Peter C. | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 12 | SUVOROV Yuly | V V V V D D | V V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 13 | CHENG Thomas | D V V V V D | V V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 14 | MAKMATOV Vadim | V D V D V V | V V V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 15 | HITCHCOCK David | V D D V D V | V V V D | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| 16 | TEITENBERG John F. | D D V D V D | V V V D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| 17 | CONKLIN Jim | V V V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| 18 | GLASS Timothy C. | V V V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| 19 | LIOU Solomon | V V V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| 20 | GATES Darcy C. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 21 | KIM Jeff | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| 22 | GREENBAUM Isaac | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 23 | WHEELER Daniel | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 24 | BARREIRO Darren | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 25 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 26 | HELGE James R. | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 27 | EVERT Todd | V D V V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 28 | PHO Eric | V V V V D | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 29 | HABIB Farooq | D V V V V D | V V D | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| 30 | BLAT Robert | V V D V V D | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 31 | KENT Dwain | V D V D V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 32 | CHU Brandon A. | V V D D V | V V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 33 | CLAWSON Brian C. | V V V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 34 | HARRIS Robert S. | V D V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 35 | MEHALL Michael | V V D V V V | V D | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| 36 | CRANOR Erich L. | V V V D V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 37 | COX Matthew T. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 38 | GERACI Paul A. | V V V V V D | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 39 | HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. | V V V V D V | V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 40 | YAO Shun | V V V D V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 41 | PEI Suyang | V V D D V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 42 | VARNEY John R. | V D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 43 | TYSON Julian F. | V D D V V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 44 | RODACHY Jeffrey M. | V V D D V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 45 | DEPAUW Devan | V D D V V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 47 | LAWLOR Lee | D V V D V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 48 | PERKA Michael | V D V D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 49 | SPRINGER Michael | D D V D V V | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 50 | GOLCU Doruk | D D V D V V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 51 | O'DOWD Andrew J. | V V D D D V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 52 | YAKIMENKO Andrei | D D V V D V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 53 | JOYCE David | V D D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 54 | BRANG David J. | V D V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 55 | WILKINSON Derek H. | V V D D D V | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 56 | CHEN Steve | D D V D V V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 57 | CAMPBELL Paul | D D D D V V | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 58 | SIMMONS Matthew C. | D V D V D D | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 59 | BECK Brian C. | D V V D D D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 60 | POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. | D D V D V D | V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 61 | MCGRATH Sean L. | D V D D D V | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 62 | ELTERMAN Lev | V D V D D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 63 | MARINI Davide | D D D D V | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 64 | STEWART Robert | D V D D D | V D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 65 | KURITZ Marc M. | D V V V D V | D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 65 | GREGORY Dean | D V D V V V | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 67 | ELBAG Mark H. | D V V D V V | D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 68 | GROSSE Michael | D D V V V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 69 | LOCASALE Nicholas A. | V V V V D D | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 70 | FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. | V V D V D V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 71 | CARTER Tony | V V D D V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 72 | MORET Eric N. | D V V V D | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 73 | MCDONNELL Michael | D V D V V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 74 | MENDOZA Zandro | V D D V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 75 | TURNER Joshua | D V D V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 76 | SWANSON Dave | V D D V D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 77 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | V D V D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 78 | SANTOS Felipe | V V D V D D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 79 | MARIANI Lou | D D V V D V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 80 | LIPTON Michael D. | D V D V V D | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 81 | HUGHES Michael D. | V D D V V D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 82 | WALTING Paul J. | D D V V V D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 83 | EVANS Allen L. | D D V V D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 84 | TRAN John | V D D D D V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 85 | KRAMER Mark | V D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 86 | FREY Wayne N. | D D D D V V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 87 | KRIEGER Nathanial | V V D D D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 88 | MCNALLY Thomas J. | D V V D D D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 | |
| 89 | KERTESZ Stefan G. | D D V V D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 90 | WHITELOCK James R. | V D V D D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 91 | REED David | D D D V D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 92 | SUCHOSKI Annika | D V D D V D | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 93 | KLINE R. Jay | D V D D V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 93 | MALLOY Christopher B. | V D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 95 | CHI Kai-Hung | D V D D V D | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 96 | WAGMAN Robert S. | D D V D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 97 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 97 | NUDELMAN Aleksandr | V D D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 99 | EDWARDS Tim | D D V D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 100 | KOKENGE Chad | D D V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 101 | DAVIS Kelly | D V D D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 102 | MINOTT Nicolas D. | D D D D V D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 103 | SIMS Martin L. | D D D V D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 104 | COLE Matthew | D V D D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 104 | VALENTINE Shem | D D D V D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 106 | KRUGER Mark | D D D D V D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 107 | GAO "George" Xiaojiang | D V D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 108 | RODRIGUEZ VINCENT | V D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 109 | MIZRAHI Meir | D D D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 110 | VERWORN Jonathan | D V D D D D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 111 | JEFFCOAT Timothy | D D D D D V | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 112 | RESS Michael A. | D D V D D D | D | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 113 | BAGAMANOV Ruslan | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 114 | BEITTEL David F. | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 115 | HUNKER Frederick | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 116 | ROGERS John D. | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 116 | TOMASI John | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 118 | ANDERSON Donald | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 119 | KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. | D D D D D D | D | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
| 120 | LONADIER Robert | D D D D D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| 121 | TREANOR Donald K. | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 122 | DELONG Mike | D D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 123 | ROZALSKI Pavel | D D D D D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.