February NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
5 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
6 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
7 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
8 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
9 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
10 CHON Collin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
11 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
12 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
13 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
14 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
15 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
16 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
17 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
18 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
19 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
20 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
21 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
22 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
23 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
24 LU Xinzhen 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
25 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
26 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 4%
27 WANG Samuel 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
28 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
29 CAO Oliver 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
30 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
31 WEI Rian 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
32 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
33 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
34 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
34 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 9%
36 MATTOO Deven 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
37 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
38 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
39 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
40 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
41 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
42 LI Alex Y. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
43 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
44 JI Johnson 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
45 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
46 YANG Phillip 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
47 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
48 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
49 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
50 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
51 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
52 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
53 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
54 YAN William 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
55 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
56 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 8%
57 CIEMINS Henry 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% -
58 WANG Will 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
59 FENG Brendan 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
60 MATTOO Surya 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
61 WANG Jerry 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
62 SO Preston 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
63 DECK Tyson 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
64 WAXLER Ryan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
65 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
66 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
67 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
68 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
69 BOLLU Viren 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
70 WANG Justin 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
71 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
72 OH Aster 100% 100% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
73 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
74 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
75 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
76 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
77 ZHAO Royce 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
78 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
78 AO Christopher 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
81 BAI Evan 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
82 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
83 LI Ayden 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
84 CLARK Aram 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
85 SUBA Lucas 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
86 BIAN Hongyu 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
87 CHEN Cooper 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
88 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
89 LEE Brian 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
90 KITSON Chase 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
91 PI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
92 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 3%
93 GONG Alex 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
94 LUHAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
94 WANG Max 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
96 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
97 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
97 WONG Lucas 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
99 SANGSTER Arden 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
100 WANG Tiger 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
101 MCDONALD Finn 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
102 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4%
103 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
104 LEE Brady 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
105 HU Chris 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
106 ALAVE Kyle 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
107 HALL Noah 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
108 ZHAO Chen Fei 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
109 DAI Zihou 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
109 IM Tyler 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
111 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
112 LIN Grant 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
113 STURGEON Cole 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
114 VAID Luke 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
115 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
116 YOOK Isaac 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
117 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
118 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
119 CAO Donald 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
120 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 91% 60% 24% 4% -
121 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
122 WANG Matthew 100% 93% 57% 19% 4% - -
123 TSAO Oliver 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
124 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
125 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
126 IYER Neil 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
127 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
128 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
129 SAGE Sebastian 100% 97% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
130 CHEN Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
131 LIM Brandon 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
132 YADAV Lakshya 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
133 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
134 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
135 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
136 ANAND Rishab 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% -
137 SADHU Neiyam 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
138 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
139 CHO RYAN 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
140 CAI Jeff 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
141 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
142 CHAN Elliott 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
142 LIN Felix 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
144 LUAN Mark 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
145 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
146 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
147 LAUB William 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
148 KANG Evan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 2%
149 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
150 BROWN Andrew 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
151 LIN Philip T. 100% 98% 77% 37% 8% 1%
151 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
151 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
154 ONG Dylan 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
155 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
156 BALU Aedan 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
157 LIU Aaron 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
158 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
159 COPP Max 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
160 TSAO Alister 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
161 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
162 GHISLAIN-FERNANDEZ Alexandre 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
163 CRAIN Bennett 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
163 SUN Andy 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
165 CHAN Henry 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
166 WANG Theodore 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
167 UEMOTO Ken 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
168 LEE Brandon 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
169 PARK Inwoo 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
170 FAN Hsiao-Kai(Kai) 100% 86% 51% 17% 2% -
171 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
172 SUN Andrew 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
173 PORTER Dupree 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
173 YU xiaodao 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
175 VEDRE Neil 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
176 GUREWICH Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
176 LEVIN Jacob 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
176 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
179 LIU Ethan 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
180 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
181 WONG Caleb W. 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
182 MINASIAN Mason 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
182 CHEN Shawn 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
184 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
185 TASIKAS Pete 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
186 LUCAS William 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
186 CHIEN Nolan 100% 35% 5% - - - -
188 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
189 MBERIA Alexander 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
190 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
191 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
191 SUN Ryan 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
193 KANG Matthew 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
194 BANSAL Krishiv 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
195 JIANG Terence 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
196 FISCHER Noel 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
197 WANG HongXi 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
198 EDENFIELD Liam 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
199 COBIAN Richard 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
199 SHI RYAN 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
201 KATZ Nico 100% 25% 3% - - - -
202 CONRADO David 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
203 KAUFFMAN Davian 100% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.